Beigene (ONC) concluded its most recent session on September 2, 2025, with an 8.49% surge to 332.04, marking the second consecutive day of gains totaling 11.44%. This strong upward momentum provides context for the following technical assessment using approximately eight months of price data, reorganized into chronological order for analysis.
Candlestick Theory Recent sessions reveal significant bullish patterns. The August 28-29 period formed a piercing line pattern (downward candle followed by strong upward candle closing near its high), signaling reversal pressure near the 295 support. The September 2 session generated a decisive breakout marubozu candle—minimal wicks and a body spanning 324.02 to 335.94—indicating conviction above the 314.90 resistance. This establishes 335.94 as immediate resistance, while 295.22 represents major support evidenced by repeated reversals near this level in July and August.
Moving Average Theory The 50-day moving average (currently near 285) crossed bullishly above the 100-day MA (near 275) in mid-July, confirming a positive medium-term trend. Price remains firmly above both averages with consistent upward slopes, indicating sustained bullish control. Shorter-term pullbacks have respected the 50-day MA as dynamic support throughout August, while the distance between price and the 200-day MA (approximately 245) highlights the strength of the longer-term uptrend.
MACD & KDJ Indicators MACD (12,26,9) shows strengthening momentum with the histogram expanding positively since August 28 and both lines maintaining above zero. The KDJ oscillator (default 9,3,3) presents a nuanced picture: the %K line (88) and %D line (84) reside in overbought territory above 80, while the J-line (96) nears extreme levels. Though this hints at short-term exhaustion, sustained upward MACD momentum may delay reversal signals. No bearish divergence is evident as both indicators align with the price uptrend.
Bollinger Bands The September 2 close above the upper band (20-day, 2SD) follows a pronounced volatility squeeze in late August, typically preceding directional breakouts. While prices outside the bands signal overextension, consecutive upper-band touches suggest strong momentum. The band width expansion supports continuation potential near-term, with the middle band (20-SMA near 300) and lower band (near 280) serving as pullback targets. Mean reversion toward 300 appears plausible given statistical extremes.
Volume-Price Relationship The breakout was validated by September 2's volume (765,979 shares) doubling the 30-day average—a clear accumulation signal. Prior advances (e.g., June 23-24, April 22) consistently coincided with above-average volume, confirming legitimate breakouts. Conversely, pullbacks occurred on diminishing volume (e.g., August 26-28), suggesting weak distribution. Volume divergence is absent currently, supporting the rally’s sustainability if volume persists near recent levels.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) The 14-day RSI now registers approximately 76, entering overbought territory (>70) for the first time since June. While this warrants caution given historical reversals from similar levels in April, the absence of bearish divergence and the trend’s strength warrant contextual interpretation. Prior instances show RSI can remain elevated during powerful trends, though consolidation often follows within 3-5 sessions. Risk-reward asymmetry increases at these levels.
Fibonacci Retracement Applying Fibonacci to the dominant trend from the April 3 low (174.74) to the June 12 high (276.53) shows the current price exceeding the 127.2% extension level (307). Key retracement supports include 294.92 (38.2% of latest swing low July 14 to high September 2) and 288.69 (50%), aligning with the psychological 290-300 support zone. Confluence exists near 300 where the 38.2% Fibonacci level, 20-day moving average, and prior resistance (August 18 high) converge.
Confluence and Divergence Notes Notable confluence occurs between the 300 support zone—buttressed by Fibonacci, moving averages, and volume-based resistance breaks—and broader bullish momentum confirmed by MACD and candlestick patterns. Divergence is isolated to oscillators: RSI and KDJ’s overbought readings conflict temporarily with sustained trend indicators. Given statistical extremes in Bollinger Bands and oscillators, near-term consolidation or retracement toward 300 is probable, though the structural uptrend remains intact absent closes below the 50-day MA.
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