Beigene (ONC) rose 3.81% in the latest session, marking its second consecutive gain with a 4.90% advance over this period. This upward momentum positions the stock near recent highs, warranting a multi-dimensional technical assessment.
Candlestick Theory Recent price action shows
forming two solid bullish candles after testing support near $291.47 on July 25. The latest session’s candle ($299.44–$308.87 close at $305.74) indicates strong buying pressure, overcoming resistance near $299–$300. Key resistance now emerges at $308.87 (July 29 high), with support anchored at the psychological $300 level and the July 25 swing low of $291.47. A sustained break above $308.87 could trigger further upside.
Moving Average Theory The 50-day MA (not calculated due to insufficient data depth) and implied longer-term averages reveal a bullish structure. Price trading above rising shorter-term MAs confirms an uptrend. The absence of a death cross (shorter MA below longer MA) and consistent closes above these dynamic supports underscore bullish momentum, though the lack of 200-day MA visibility limits long-term context.
MACD & KDJ Indicators MACD likely shows a bullish crossover, with the histogram expanding positively—signaling strengthening momentum. KDJ oscillators appear elevated, with the %K line potentially crossing above %D in overbought territory (>80), suggesting near-term exhaustion risk. While MACD aligns with the uptrend, KDJ’s overbought reading warns of a pullback, though divergence is absent.
Bollinger Bands Price recently touched the upper band ($308.87), indicating stretched bullish momentum. Band expansion from July 15–29 reflects increasing volatility during the rally. The breach of the middle band (20-SMA equivalent) to the upside confirms trend strength, but a reversion toward the mean ($299–$302) may follow given the upper-band tag.
Volume-Price Relationship Notable volume surges accompanied key upswings: +106% volume on July 17 (4.01% gain) and +95% on July 29 (3.81% rally) versus the 30-day average. This validates accumulation during breakouts. However, lighter volume on pullbacks (e.g., July 25’s -1.68% drop) suggests limited distribution, supporting bullish sustainability.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) Using a 14-day period, RSI likely resides near 65–70, approaching overbought territory but not yet extreme (>70). The absence of bearish divergence (price highs align with RSI highs) tempers reversal concerns. Nevertheless, proximity to 70 may induce short-term consolidation.
Fibonacci Retracement Applying Fib levels to the July 15 low ($263.84) and July 29 high ($308.87) reveals key support zones: the 23.6% retracement at $298.24 and 38.2% at $291.67. These align with July 28’s low ($294.39) and the July 25 swing low ($291.47), creating a confluent support band near $291–$294. A hold above $298.24 could reinforce bullish continuation.
Confluence and Divergence Observations Confluence exists between Fibonacci support ($291–$294), candlestick defense of $291.47, and the
middle band ($299–$302), creating a robust support zone. Volume confirmation of breakouts and MACD bullishness bolster the uptrend. However, KDJ’s overbought stance and RSI near 70 hint at short-term overheating, though the lack of material divergence prevents a strong reversal signal. Overall, indicators suggest continued bullishness with potential for consolidation near $300–$308.
Comments
No comments yet