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In the current bull market cycle, traders who bet on price declines have shown a notable shift in sentiment, adopting a more cautious approach when establishing short positions. This change is evident when compared to the price action of 2021, where significant long squeezes were more common. The only notable long squeeze in the current cycle occurred during a pullback in Bitcoin around the $80,000 level, indicating that shorts have become more risk-averse. This cautious behavior is typically seen as a bullish signal, suggesting that the market may have stronger upward momentum.
Analysts have observed that bears have become more conservative in their approach, which aligns with the market's stronger bullish signals. This conservative stance suggests that while there is optimism about the market's potential, bears are anticipating that it may not reach the heights seen in previous cycles. This cautious optimism is reflected in the predictions for various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies and gold miners.
Crypto analyst Mikybull Crypto, known for accurately predicting the surge in XRP's price, has offered a more conservative target for the altcoin. According to the analyst's forecast, the altcoin is expected to reach between $4 and $6 in this cycle. This prediction aligns with the broader market sentiment, where analysts are suggesting that average prices might hover closer to current levels or slightly above, depending on sustained market hype and investor interest.
The shift in sentiment is not limited to the crypto market. In the broader financial landscape, analysts are noting that the market is flashing all the classic signals of an altseason, with Bitcoin's dominance teetering and money rotating into altcoins en masse. This rotation indicates a growing interest in alternative investments, which could further fuel the bullish momentum in the market.
The conservative stance among bears is also reflected in the predictions for other asset classes. For instance, gold miners have entered correction territory, but analysts see this as a prime opportunity to buy undervalued dividend-paying gold stocks. This view is supported by the fact that corrections are possible at any time, and the "drop height" has increased significantly in view of the rapid price rise, especially in absolute terms.
In summary, the current bull market cycle is characterized by a more conservative approach among bears, who are cautiously optimistic about the market's potential. This sentiment is supported by stronger bullish signals and a growing interest in alternative investments. While the market may not reach the heights seen in previous cycles, the current environment presents opportunities for investors to capitalize on undervalued assets and sustained market hype.
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