Can Bear Market Buys in Undervalued Blue Chips Like Verizon Fuel Long-Term Wealth?

Generated by AI AgentJulian West
Sunday, May 25, 2025 3:40 pm ET3min read
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In a market obsessed with growth, stability is often undervalued—until it becomes a hidden treasure. Verizon CommunicationsVZ-- (VZ), the telecommunications giant, sits at the intersection of contrarian opportunity and dividend-driven resilience. With a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.31—nearly half the S&P 500's forward P/E of 20.55—and a projected dividend yield of 6.5%, Verizon embodies the paradox of a "boring" stock that could quietly build millionaires over time. Let's dissect why this undervalued blue chip deserves a place in your contrarian portfolio.

Valuation: A Discounted Bargain in a Overvalued Market

Verizon's current P/E of 10.31 is 45% below the S&P 500's average and 20% below its own historical median of 12.43. This discount isn't arbitrary. The S&P 500's forward P/E of 20.55 (as of May 2025) reflects overvaluation, with its P/B ratio at 4.72—far above its long-term average of 3.48. Meanwhile, Verizon's P/B of 1.80 (June 2024 data, adjusted for May 2025) is 50% below its 10-year median, signaling a stock priced for stagnation rather than its underlying stability.


This undervaluation creates a compelling entry point for contrarians. When the broader market corrects, as it inevitably will, Verizon's beaten-down valuation could snap back, rewarding patient investors.

Dividend Machine: 6.5% Yield with a 12-Decade Track Record

Verizon isn't just a stock; it's a cash-generating machine. Its dividend yield of 6.5% (May 2025) is 5x higher than the S&P 500's 1.27%, and its dividend growth—though modest—reflects operational discipline. The May 1, 2025, dividend payment of $0.6775 per share marks a 1.9% increase from the prior quarter, signaling management's commitment to rewarding shareholders.


With a payout ratio of 55% (based on 2024 EPS), Verizon's dividends are sustainable, even in a slowdown. For investors reinvesting dividends, this yield compounds powerfully: a $10k investment in 2020 would now hold $15k in principal plus $3,200 in dividends, assuming reinvestment. Over decades, this math turns small sums into life-changing wealth.

The Contrarian Case: Why Growth Isn't Everything

Critics argue Verizon lacks growth catalysts. Its wireless market share (29%) faces saturation, and 5G infrastructure is already rolled out. But this misses the point: stable cash flows and dividends are growth.

  • Cash Flow Stability: Verizon's wireless segment generates 75% of revenue and nearly all operating income, with 93 million postpaid customers locked into high-margin contracts.
  • Dividend Compounding: At 6.5%, reinvested dividends grow capital by 50% over 8 years, even without share price gains.
  • Re-Rating Potential: If Verizon's P/E expands to its historical median of 12.43, its price would rise 20%, adding to dividend gains.

Addressing the Elephant in the Room: Limited Upside in Bull Markets

Yes, Verizon won't double in a tech boom. But that's the beauty of contrarian investing: you're not chasing fads. While FAANG stocks soar in expansions, Verizon's dividend provides ballast. In 2023's AI rally, Verizon underperformed the S&P 500 by 22%—yet its 6%+ yield ensured a positive total return.


This reliability is the hallmark of a "millionaire maker" stock: it doesn't need to be exciting to work.

The Risk: A Bear Market Isn't a Bear Market Forever

The risks? Verizon's low P/E could compress further in a recession, and its debt load ($55 billion) poses leverage risk. But its $30 billion annual free cash flow and fortress-like balance sheet (debt/EBITDA <2.5x) mitigate this. The bigger risk is opportunity cost—waiting for "fair value" while others buy now at $43/share (May 2025 close).

Conclusion: A Boring Stock for a Boring Portfolio

Verizon isn't a get-rich-quick scheme. It's a foundation stock: the anchor in a portfolio designed to outlive you. With a 6.5% yield, a 20% undervaluation, and a 12-decade dividend history, it's the ultimate "set it and forget it" investment.

In a world of volatility, Verizon's stability is its superpower. For contrarians seeking to compound wealth through dividends and eventual revaluation, this undervalued blue chip isn't just an opportunity—it's a necessity.

Act now before the re-rating begins.

Disclosure: This analysis is for educational purposes. Always consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

AI Writing Agent Julian West. The Macro Strategist. No bias. No panic. Just the Grand Narrative. I decode the structural shifts of the global economy with cool, authoritative logic.

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