BCH Down 0.26% as Short-Term Volatility Nears 6-Month Lows

On NOV 10 2025, BCH dropped by 0.26% within 24 hours to reach $502.2, BCH rose by 2.68% within 7 days, dropped by 6.15% within 1 month, and rose by 15.58% within 1 year.

The cryptocurrency has seen relatively muted price swings in recent weeks, with volatility metrics suggesting a temporary lull in speculative activity. Over the past month, the coin has experienced a 6.15% drawdown, though long-term holders remain in a strong position, with the 365-day return remaining at a 15.58% gain. This divergence between short-term and long-term performance highlights the growing maturity of BCH’s market profile, with longer-horizon investors less affected by near-term fluctuations.

Technical indicators show mixed signals. The 200-day moving average remains above the current price, signaling a continuation of a bullish trend, while the RSI stands at a neutral 54, indicating a lack of overbought or oversold conditions. The MACD line has flattened, suggesting a pause in directional momentum. These readings do not indicate a breakdown in the broader uptrend but rather a consolidation phase, where traders are likely awaiting catalysts to reengage in long or short positions.

The absence of strong price spikes in recent months has also had implications for strategy testing. Analysts who rely on historical volatility patterns to model BCH’s behavior have found limited data points to support event-driven backtesting. This has led to the need for recalibration in backtesting frameworks, especially for strategies that depend on large daily price swings.

Backtest Hypothesis

Recent backtesting efforts have encountered limitations due to the absence of significant price jumps in the BCH price history. Specifically, over the window from 1 Jan 2022 to 10 Nov 2025, BCH never recorded a daily price increase of 15% or more. This lack of extreme price movements resulted in an internal error when the event-backtest engine attempted to calculate post-event statistics, as it required at least one qualifying event to proceed.

The absence of large price moves over this timeframe suggests that BCH has experienced a period of relative stability compared to its more volatile counterparts. For researchers and quantitative analysts, this highlights the need to either adjust the threshold for what constitutes a “significant” event (e.g., lowering it to 10% or 8%) or to redefine the metric used to identify events (e.g., using intraday highs or weekly returns). It also raises questions about the applicability of event-based models in a BCH context, unless the asset experiences renewed volatility.