Barclays Raises Hillman Solns Price Target to $10, Analyst Maintains Equal-Weight Rating

Friday, Aug 8, 2025 10:20 pm ET1min read

Barclays analyst Matthew Bouley raised Hillman Solutions' (HLMN) price target to $10 from $8, reflecting a 25% increase. The analyst maintained an Equal-Weight rating. Hillman Solutions provides hardware-related products and related merchandising services to retail markets in North America. The average target price for HLMN is $11.72, with a high estimate of $15 and a low estimate of $10, implying an 18.55% upside from the current price.

Barclays analyst Matthew Bouley has raised the price target for Hillman Solutions (HLMN) to $10, up from $8, reflecting a 25% increase. Bouley maintained an Equal-Weight rating for the stock. Hillman Solutions provides hardware-related products and merchandising services to retail markets in North America.

The average target price for HLMN is currently $11.72, with a high estimate of $15 and a low estimate of $10, implying an 18.55% upside from the current price [1]. This move comes after Hillman Solutions reported strong Q2 2025 earnings, with an EPS of $0.17, surpassing the forecast of $0.14 by 21.43%. Revenue also beat projections, reaching $402.8 million against an anticipated $390.34 million [2].

Hillman Solutions' stock closed 19% higher following the earnings announcement, outperforming the Russell 2000 index, which gained 1%. The company's stock has delivered an impressive 21% return over the past week, though the RSI indicates overbought conditions [1].

The company announced its first share repurchase program, authorizing up to $100 million for repurchasing outstanding common stock. This is the first such program since Hillman became publicly traded in 2021 [3]. The company highlighted its competitive advantages, including its field sales team with nearly 30-year retailer relationships, direct-to-store shipping capabilities, and company-owned brands comprising over 90% of sales.

Looking ahead, Hillman Solutions expects high single-digit to low double-digit percentage net sales growth in fiscal 2026, along with low single-digit to mid-single-digit growth in adjusted EBITDA, assuming flat market volumes and typical new business wins.

References:
[1] https://www.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/canaccord-genuity-raises-hillman-solutions-stock-price-target-to-15-on-strong-q2-93CH-4172986
[2] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hillman-board-directors-approves-100-112500381.html
[3] https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-hillman-solutions-q2-2025-beats-expectations-stock-surges-93CH-4170742

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