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Let’s start with the options chain. For Friday’s expiry (Jan 9), the top OTM call is at $57 with 25,837 open contracts—nearly double the next strike. But the real fireworks are in next Friday’s (Jan 16) options: the $60 call has 50,546 open contracts, the highest of any strike. That’s not just noise—it’s a vote of confidence from traders expecting a push above $57.17 (Bollinger Upper Band) before expiration.
On the put side, the story is more extreme. The $40 put for Jan 16 has 54,647 open contracts—over 100% below current price. That’s not a bet on a crash; it’s insurance against a black swan. The put/call ratio for open interest is 1.43, meaning puts dominate. But here’s the twist: most of that bearish sentiment is locked into deep OTM strikes. If BAC holds above $53.81 (Bollinger Lower Band), those puts may expire worthless.
Earnings, Analysts, and Institutional Moves: A Bullish BackstoryBAC’s earnings report on Jan 14 is the elephant in the room. Analysts are optimistic, with a $71 price target from Barclays and an average of $60.84 from the street. That 7.3% upside aligns with the call-heavy options activity. But here’s the catch: Nisa Investment Advisors cut its stake by 2.4% in Q3, while others like Nova Wealth Management boosted holdings by 75%. That mixed institutional activity suggests some caution—but 70.71% institutional ownership still means big money isn’t fleeing.
Actionable Trades: Calls for the Breakout, Puts for the Safety NetIf you’re bullish, the call is your best bet. Buy it if BAC breaks above $56.50 (intraday high) with a stop below $55.25 (30D support). Target: $59, which is 5.3% above current price. For a conservative play, buy the put this week to hedge against a pullback. It’s the most liquid put for Friday’s expiry and caps risk if the stock dips.
For stock traders, consider entry near $55.25 if support holds. First target is $57.17 (Bollinger Upper Band), then $59. But watch the $53.81 lower band—if it breaks, reevaluate.
Volatility on the Horizon: Earnings Could Be a Double-Edged SwordBAC’s earnings on Jan 14 will test the bulls. A beat could send the stock toward $60, validating the call options. A miss might trigger a test of $53.81. Either way, the options market is already pricing in movement. With analyst targets above $60 and the 200D MA at $43.99, the long-term trend remains intact. But short-term traders need to watch the $55.25 support like a hawk.
The bottom line? BAC is in a sweet spot—bullish technicals, call-heavy options, and analyst optimism. But don’t ignore the puts: they’re a reminder that a sharp drop could catch even the most bullish unprepared. Position yourself with the BAC20260116C60 for upside, and keep a safety net with the BAC20260109P56. The next two weeks could be where the magic happens.

Focus on daily option trades

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