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Axon Enterprise 2025 Q1 Earnings Beats Expectations with Net Income Decline

Daily EarningsThursday, May 8, 2025 2:58 am ET
54min read
Axon Enterprise Inc. reported its fiscal 2025 Q1 earnings, revealing a record quarterly revenue of $604 million, surpassing analyst expectations of $583.76 million. The company also exceeded earnings predictions with adjusted earnings of $1.41 per share, compared to the anticipated $1.27. Axon raised its full-year revenue guidance to a range of $2.60 billion to $2.70 billion, reflecting optimism for sustained growth driven by strong customer alignment, expanding vertical applications, and ongoing product innovation.

Revenue

In the first quarter of 2025, Axon Enterprise's total revenue surged by 31.3% year-over-year, reaching $603.63 million, up from $459.87 million in the previous year. The Connected Devices segment accounted for $340.90 million, including TASER revenue of $195.50 million and Personal Sensors revenue of $88.41 million. Meanwhile, Platform Solutions contributed $57 million. The Software and Services segment generated $262.74 million, driven by robust demand and marking a 39% increase over the prior year.

Earnings/Net Income

Axon Enterprise's earnings per share (EPS) declined 35.6% to $1.14 in the first quarter of 2025 from $1.77 in the same period in 2024. The company's net income fell by 34.0%, from $133.35 million in 2024 Q1 to $87.98 million in 2025 Q1. Despite the year-over-year decrease, the adjusted earnings per share of $1.41 exceeded analyst expectations, indicating a positive market response.

Price Action

The stock price of Axon Enterprise edged down by 0.03% during the latest trading day and decreased by 1.87% over the most recent full trading week. However, it experienced a significant surge of 21.06% month-to-date, reflecting positive investor sentiment following the earnings report and raised guidance.

Post-Earnings Price Action Review

The strategy of purchasing Axon Enterprise shares following a quarter-over-quarter revenue drop and holding for 30 days yielded a 10.90% return over the past five years, significantly trailing the benchmark return of 84.08%. This approach demonstrated a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.10%, with a maximum drawdown of -13.37%, reflecting moderate risk and returns. The Sharpe ratio stood at 0.17, highlighting the strategy’s limited risk-adjusted performance. Despite the recent stock surge, these historical returns suggest that the post-earnings strategy may not consistently outperform broader market benchmarks. Investors should consider these findings alongside current market conditions and Axon’s strategic initiatives when evaluating potential investment opportunities.

CEO Commentary

Axon Enterprise, Inc. CEO Rick Smith emphasized a strong start to 2025, with record quarterly revenue reflecting a 31% year-over-year growth. He highlighted the company's profitable expansion, noting a net income margin of 14.6% and an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 25.7%. Smith pointed to the significant contributions from Software & Services, which grew 39% to $263 million, driven by robust demand for premium offerings. He expressed optimism about sustained growth through customer alignment, expanding vertical applications, and ongoing product innovation.

Guidance

Axon has raised its full-year revenue outlook for 2025 to a range of $2.60 billion to $2.70 billion, up from the previous estimate of $2.55 billion to $2.65 billion. This revision represents approximately 27% growth at the midpoint. The company continues to target an Adjusted EBITDA margin of around 25%, with expectations now set between $650 million and $675 million, an increase from earlier projections of $640 million to $670 million.

Additional News

In recent weeks, Axon Enterprise has announced several strategic partnerships aimed at enhancing community safety through a connected public-private safety network. Collaborations with Ring and Citizen are key highlights, allowing secure video sharing between private enterprises and local agencies. These partnerships are expected to drive further growth and solidify Axon's position as a leader in public safety technology. Additionally, Axon hosted its tenth annual user conference, Axon Week 2025, showcasing innovations in public safety technology and strengthening customer relationships. The event featured the launch of Axon Vehicle Intelligence and Axon Assistant, expanding the company’s product portfolio and supporting its growth initiatives.
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