Avoiding the Un-Retirement Crisis: Building a Resilient Retirement Portfolio for a Volatile World

Albert FoxMonday, May 12, 2025 3:55 pm ET
129min read

The "un-retirement crisis" is no longer a distant concern—it is a present-day reality. With 13% of U.S. retirees now likely to return to work due to financial strain and 37.3% of Americans aged 55+ already employed, the urgency to future-proof retirement portfolios has never been clearer. Jim Carrey’s abrupt return to acting in 2024—after depleting his savings through high-cost luxuries and underestimating longevity—serves as a stark warning. This article outlines actionable strategies to build portfolios that withstand longevity risks, market turbulence, and rising healthcare costs, ensuring retirees never face the indignity of un-retirement.

The Triple Threat to Retirement Security

Three systemic risks now define the un-retirement crisis:
1. Longevity Risk: A 65-year-old today has a 50% chance of living to 90, with global centenarians projected to hit 3.5 million by 2050.
2. Market Volatility: The S&P 500 has endured three corrections (10% declines) and two bear markets (20% drops) since 2020, eroding savings.
3. Healthcare Costs: Medicare premiums for 2025 average $170/month, but out-of-pocket expenses for a 65-year-old couple now exceed $316,000 over their lifetime.

Stress-Test Your Portfolio: A Four-Pronged Strategy

1. Diversify Income Streams to Mitigate Volatility

Dividend Stocks: Stable, high-dividend equities (e.g., consumer staples, utilities) provide predictable cash flow. Procter & Gamble (PG) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), with 5+ decades of dividend growth, exemplify this strategy.

Annuities: Immediate or deferred income annuities convert lump sums into lifelong payments. For example, a 65-year-old woman investing $100,000 in a single-premium annuity today could receive $7,500 annually—indexed to inflation.

Real Estate: Rental properties or REITs (e.g., Realty Income Corp. O) offer steady income, with O yielding ~4.5% and rising.

2. Delay Withdrawals to Leverage Compounding

Every extra year worked adds 10-15% to a retirement nest egg due to compounding. Consider:
- Delaying retirement from 65 to 70 allows your $1 million portfolio to grow to $1.8 million at 5% annual returns.
- Postponing Social Security benefits until age 70 boosts payouts by 8% annually beyond FRA.

Jim Carrey’s return to acting at 62—a decision driven by his need to delay withdrawals—highlights this principle.

3. Build a Flexible Spending Plan

  • Healthcare Reserves: Allocate 20-30% of savings to healthcare via HSA accounts or dedicated funds.
  • Variable Withdrawal Rates: Use the “4% rule” as a baseline but adjust for market conditions. For instance, reduce withdrawals to 3% during bear markets.
  • Inflation Hedges: Allocate 5-10% of assets to TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) or commodities like gold (GLD).

4. Optimize Tax Efficiency

  • Roth Conversions: Convert traditional IRAs to Roth accounts to avoid Medicare surcharges and RMDs.
  • Tax-Loss Harvesting: Offset capital gains taxes by selling losing investments.

The Case Against Overconfidence: Jim Carrey’s Lesson

Carrey’s financial unraveling stemmed from three critical missteps:
1. Underestimating Longevity: Assuming a shorter retirement than his 90+ life expectancy.
2. Ignoring Healthcare Costs: Failing to account for the $296,000 average couple spends post-65.
3. Poor Withdrawal Discipline: Overspending on luxury assets (e.g., his $29M mansion) without a budget.

His return to work—a “crisis pivot”—could have been avoided with a diversified portfolio and delayed withdrawals.

Act Now: The Cost of Procrastination

The stakes are clear. A 65-year-old retiring today with $1 million, assuming a 2% inflation rate and 5% annual withdrawals, would exhaust their savings in 18 years—well short of their likely lifespan. By contrast, a portfolio stress-tested against the three risks above could last 30+ years.

Final Call to Action

The un-retirement crisis is not inevitable—it is avoidable. Investors must:
1. Diversify income streams with dividend stocks, annuities, and real estate.
2. Delay withdrawals to capitalize on compounding.
3. Build flexible spending plans that account for healthcare and inflation.

The clock is ticking. Begin stress-testing your portfolio today—before the next market correction or healthcare bill forces your hand.

This article is for informational purposes only. Consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.