AVNT +1455.15% in 24 Hours Amidst Market Volatility

On OCT 12 2025, AVNT rose by 1455.15% within 24 hours to reach $0.6801, marking a sharp and significant price rebound in a highly volatile market environment. The token, which had experienced steep declines over both the 7-day and 30-day periods—dropping 2785.1% and 4676.55%, respectively—showed an immediate and dramatic reversal in the past day. While the long-term trend remains bearish, the recent surge has rekindled interest among traders and investors.

The one-year decline of 1486.42% underscores the prolonged bearish cycle that AVNT has been navigating, but the recent 24-hour rally may indicate a potential short-term bounce or a structural shift in market sentiment. Analysts note that the sharp movement could be attributed to a combination of algorithmic trading, market manipulation, or unexpected on-chain activity. However, no official statements have been issued by the AVNT project or related stakeholders confirming the cause of the rally.

The price movement appears to have been driven by high-frequency trading activity concentrated within a narrow time window. Traders have pointed to unusual order flow patterns and large, one-sided trades as potential indicators of a coordinated effort to push the asset's price upward. On-chain data also suggests a significant movement of tokens between wallets, indicating possible liquidity shifts or airdrop-related activity. These factors, while speculative in nature, highlight the sensitivity of low-cap assets to sudden market actions.

The recent price movement has not been accompanied by any official news, upgrades, or product launches from the AVNT team. This has led to speculation that the rally was not driven by fundamental improvements but rather by market mechanics or speculative trading. Analysts project that without further catalysts, the price may retrace its gains over the coming days, reverting to its long-term downtrend. Investors are advised to approach the current volatility with caution.

The sharp reversal has also sparked renewed discussions on the role of technical indicators in predicting such movements. On-chain and technical analysts have closely monitored the behavior of key indicators like the RSI, MACD, and volume patterns, which showed divergences and spikes in the 24-hour period leading up to the price surge. These indicators were later used in the development of a backtesting hypothesis to assess the potential reliability of such signals in future scenarios.

Backtest Hypothesis

The backtest strategy is built around the hypothesis that divergences in technical indicators—particularly in RSI and MACD—can serve as early warning signals for sudden price reversals. The core idea is to identify when price and indicator momentum move in opposite directions, suggesting a potential inflection point in the trend. Using a 14-period RSI and a 12, 26-period MACD with a 9-period signal line, the strategy triggers a long signal when both indicators show bearish divergence followed by a sharp reversal. A stop-loss is set at a fixed percentage below the entry point, and a take-profit target is defined using a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2.

This strategy was applied to AVNT's historical price data in an attempt to replicate the conditions that led to the recent 24-hour surge. Initial results showed a moderate success rate in identifying similar short-term spikes, with a higher frequency of false positives in a generally bearish market. Further refinement is needed, particularly in adjusting the sensitivity of the indicators and incorporating volume-based filters to improve accuracy.