AVITA Medical's 15min chart shows KDJ Death Cross, Bearish Marubozu pattern

AVITA Medical's 15-minute chart has recently triggered a KDJ Death Cross, accompanied by a Bearish Marubozu formation at 08/18/2025 15:45. This suggests a shift in momentum towards a downward trend, with a potential for further price depreciation. Sellers currently dominate the market, and the bearish momentum is likely to persist.

AVITA Medical (NASDAQ: RCEL) has recently experienced a significant downturn in its stock price, with technical indicators suggesting a potential downward trend. On August 18, 2025, at 15:45, the 15-minute chart of AVITA Medical triggered a KDJ Death Cross, accompanied by a Bearish Marubozu formation. This combination of technical signals indicates a shift in momentum towards a downward trend and a potential for further price depreciation [3].

The KDJ Death Cross, a technical indicator derived from the Keltner Channels, signals a potential reversal in the market's trend. The Bearish Marubozu formation, characterized by a single candle with no wicks, suggests strong selling pressure and a potential continuation of the bearish trend. These indicators, along with the recent decline in stock prices, indicate that sellers currently dominate the market, and the bearish momentum is likely to persist.

Analysts have been cautious about AVITA Medical's stock performance. On August 15, 2025, the stock price fell by -2.93% from $5.80 to $5.63. During the last trading day, the stock fluctuated 5.31% from a day low at $5.56 to a day high of $5.85. The stock has risen in 7 of the last 10 days but is up by only 9.11% over the past 2 weeks. The volume has increased on the last day by 146 thousand shares but on falling prices, indicating a potential early warning [1].

Given the current short-term trend, AVITA Medical is expected to fall -13.10% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability, hold a price between $3.63 and $5.03 at the end of this 3-month period. However, if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, the prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken [1].

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $5.17 and $4.81. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $4.81 and $4.25. The stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band, this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.295 between high and low, or 5.31%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 10.45% [1].

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 18th, we expect AVITA Medical to open at $5.68, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $5.40 and $5.86, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.464 (+/-8.59%) up or down from last closing price. If AVITA Medical takes out the full calculated possible swing range, there will be an estimated 8.59% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day. Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $5.77 (2.49%) than the support at $5.17 (8.17%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level [1].

AVITA Medical holds several negative signals and should be considered a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation, it should be considered a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position while awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture, we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate [1].

In contrast, Avita Medical Limited (AVH.AX) also faced a significant decline on August 18, 2025. The stock price fell by -8.86% from $1.75 to $1.60. During the last trading day, the stock fluctuated 9.27% from a day low at $1.57 to a day high of $1.71. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -5.34% for this period. The volume has increased on the last day by 2 million shares but on falling prices, indicating a potential early warning [2].

Given the current short-term trend, Avita Medical Limited is expected to fall -14.14% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability, hold a price between $1.12 and $1.59 at the end of this 3-month period. However, if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, the prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken [2].

On the downside, Avita Medical Limited finds support from accumulated volume at $1.59 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested. The stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band, this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.145 between high and low, or 9.27%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.98% [2].

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 19th, we expect Avita Medical Limited to open at $1.62, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1.54 and $1.65, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.112 (+/-7.31%) up or down from last closing price. Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $1.59 (0.31%) than the resistance at $1.65 (3.13%), our systems see the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance [2].

Avita Medical Limited holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture, we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate [2].

In conclusion, AVITA Medical and Avita Medical Limited have both experienced significant declines in their stock prices, accompanied by technical indicators suggesting a potential downward trend. Investors should exercise caution and monitor the market closely for any signs of a turnaround.

References:
[1] https://stockinvest.us/stock/RCEL
[2] https://stockinvest.us/stock/AVH.AX
[3] https://www.stocktitan.net/news/RCEL/avita-medical-successfully-completes-australian-equity-7jf3yj2yg0kr.html