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The options market and technicals are painting a clear picture:
is perched at a crossroads. Calls at $360 and $350 dominate open interest, while RSI (39.45) and MACD (-6.6) hint at oversold conditions. Here’s what to watch:Bullish Calls at $360 Signal Institutional ConfidenceThe top OTM call for next Friday (
) has 8,587 open contracts—nearly double the $350 strike. This suggests institutional players are hedging for a $360+ move, likely tied to Broadcom’s AI revenue surge. Meanwhile, puts at $330 (12,132 OI) and $310 (9,538 OI) show bearish caution, but the 0.99 put/call ratio (by open interest) means bulls aren’t backing down.The key takeaway? A $360 breakout could trigger a short-covering rally, especially with Bollinger Bands widening (upper at $429.65). But watch the 30D support zone ($339.93–$341.67)—a break below that would validate the puts.
AI Revenue and Earnings Momentum Fuel the NarrativeBroadcom’s Q4 results were a blockbuster: $18.02B revenue, $1.95 EPS, and $6.5B in AI sales. CEO Hock Tan’s $11B Anthropic deal and custom chips for Meta/OpenAI are real catalysts. Analysts like J.P. Morgan’s Harlan Sur ($475 target) and Morningstar’s William Kerwin ($480) are betting on $25B in annual AI revenue by 2027.
But here’s the catch: insider selling (Tan sold $42.4M in shares) and a P/E of 73.57 raise valuation concerns. The stock’s 12% drop since November suggests profit-taking, but the $8.2B Q1 2026 AI revenue forecast could reignite optimism.
Actionable Trade Ideas for AVGOBroadcom’s story hinges on AI demand and margin stability. The $360 call strike is a psychological hurdle—clearing it could spark a re-rating. But with short interest up 23.8% and insider selling, don’t ignore the risks. For now, the options data and earnings momentum lean bullish. If AI revenue keeps accelerating,
could revisit $400+ by Q1 2026.Bottom line: This is a high-conviction trade for AI believers. Play it with tight stops and a clear exit plan. The market’s eye is on $360—and so should yours.

Focus on daily option trades

Dec.29 2025

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