Avantis/Tether Market Overview (AVNTUSDT): 24-Hour Analysis as of 2025-09-26

• Price fell from 1.71 to 1.49 over 24 hours, forming bearish continuation patterns and testing support zones.
• RSI and MACD signaled bearish momentum, with RSI entering oversold territory near 30, suggesting limited near-term downside.
• Bollinger Bands showed significant contraction during early recovery, followed by price expansion below the 1.55–1.58 mid-band level.
• Volume surged during key breakdowns and consolidations, confirming bearish sentiment but showing divergences during minor bounces.
• Fibonacci retracement levels at 1.52 and 1.55–1.58 became critical for near-term direction, with 1.55 acting as a pivot point.

Avantis/Tether (AVNTUSDT) opened at 1.6543 on 2025-09-25 12:00 ET and traded as high as 1.7098 before closing at 1.4894 at 2025-09-26 12:00 ET. The pair reached a low of 1.4835 during the session. Total volume across the 24-hour period was 156,864,359.99, with notional turnover estimated at $241.96 million based on average prices.

Structure & Formations

Price action on the 15-minute chart revealed a series of bearish continuation patterns, including a bearish engulfing at 1.6701–1.6645 and a large bearish harami at 1.6695–1.6677. These patterns confirmed the bearish bias following a sharp drop from 1.7098 to 1.6361 early in the session. A critical support level formed around 1.58 and 1.55, with the latter acting as a pivot for a minor rebound. The 1.55–1.58 range now becomes a key watch zone, with potential for either a consolidation or a breakdown.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages trended lower, with price closing below both, reinforcing the bearish momentum. On the daily chart, the 50-period and 100-period moving averages crossed to the downside, suggesting further bearish pressure. The 200-period moving average remains above 1.65, indicating a potential zone of resistance if price attempts a recovery.

MACD & RSI

MACD remained in bearish territory for most of the session, with the histogram showing a wide divergence as price declined from 1.7098 to 1.4894. The RSI line dropped to 30 by 02:45 ET, signaling oversold conditions and suggesting a potential short-term bounce. However, the lack of sustained bullish momentum and the absence of a bullish divergence limit the strength of this signal. Traders should watch for a close above the 1.55 level before taking any bullish positions.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands showed a marked contraction during the 02:00–03:30 ET window, with price consolidating around 1.52. This was followed by a strong break to the downside, with price moving below the lower band and settling near 1.4894. The current price action is within the lower portion of the bands, with the mid-band at 1.52–1.54 offering resistance. A sustained close above this range would signal a shift in sentiment.

Volume & Turnover

Volume and notional turnover were elevated during key breakdown phases, particularly between 19:00–20:30 ET and 02:00–04:00 ET. These spikes confirmed bearish momentum as price moved from 1.6701 to 1.4974. Divergences became evident during minor bounces, particularly at 1.52 and 1.55, where price failed to gain support despite increased volume. This suggests limited demand at these levels and raises the likelihood of further consolidation or bearish extension.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracement to the major swing high (1.7098) to the swing low (1.4835), key levels of interest include the 38.2% (1.5986), 50% (1.5966), and 61.8% (1.5947) levels. The 1.55–1.58 range coincides with the 50%–61.8% levels, making it a critical pivot. A retest of 1.55 could either lead to a bounce or a continuation of the bearish move toward the 1.45–1.46 support zone.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtest strategy involves entering a short position upon a breakdown below 1.55, with a stop above 1.58 and a target of 1.46. A long position could be considered if price breaks above 1.58, with a stop below 1.55 and a target of 1.65. The strategy relies on RSI and MACD for confirmation of trend strength and divergence. The 20-period moving average would serve as a dynamic support/resistance level. This hypothesis is based on current pattern, volume, and indicator behavior, and would need to be tested over historical data for robustness.