Avantis' 30% Rally Faces Post-Airdrop Volatility as Traders Eye 16 Sept Deadline

Avantis (AVNT) experienced a 30.52% surge in 24 hours as of 15 September 2025, driven by listings on Coinbase and MEXC, airdrop campaigns, and growth in its real-world asset (RWA) derivatives platform. The token's price reached $0.92, with 24-hour trading volume spiking to $678.78M. However, analysts caution that short-term gains may face pressure as airdrop incentives expire and profit-taking accelerates.

The Coinbase listing on 9 September 2025 significantly boosted AVNT's liquidity and visibility, with the platform's total value locked (TVL) reaching $2.3B and cumulative trading volume exceeding $180B. Despite these fundamentals, technical indicators suggest mixed momentum. The Awesome Oscillator (AO) turned positive, signaling fading bearish pressure, but the RSI remains neutral, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions.

Airdrop campaigns on exchanges like WEEX and MEXC, which required users to trade AVNT to claim rewards, initially fueled demand. However, post-event sell pressure is expected to emerge as participants cash out. For instance, WEEX's $50K airdrop (9–16 September) mandated users to deposit 100 USDT and trade AVNT, creating temporary liquidity. Analysts warn that AVNT's turnover ratio of 8.46 (volume/market cap) highlights extreme liquidity but also volatility risks.

Fundamentally, Avantis dominates the Base链 derivatives market with 50.1% community token allocation and backing from Pantera Capital. Its focus on RWA markets-22 tradable assets including commodities and forex-aligns with 2025 sector trends. However, the project's fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $1.09B and circulating supply of 241M tokens raise concerns about dilution.

Price predictions vary widely. Digitalcoinprice forecasts AVNT at $2.3 by year-end 2025, while CoinArbitrageBot predicts $0.71028 for 18 September 2025. Long-term projections range from $12 by 2030 (CoinEdition) to $5.86 (CoinArbitrageBot). These discrepancies reflect the token's volatility and reliance on macroeconomic factors, such as Bitcoin halving cycles, which could influence broader crypto sentiment.

Key risks include the expiration of airdrop campaigns (e.g., WEEX's 16 September deadline) and post-listing profit-taking. For example, AVNT's price dipped 1.14% on 12 September 2025 as traders cashed in after the Coinbase listing. Derivatives volume on WEEX dropped 47% as short-term traders paused bets, signaling potential momentum loss.

Technical analysis highlights critical support levels. The pivot point at $0.815 and the RSI at 42 suggest a cooling market after being overbought. If AVNT fails to hold above $0.80, further corrections could follow. Conversely, a sustained close above $1.00 might indicate renewed confidence, supported by on-chain sentiment improvements (Weighted Sentiment rose to 1.10).

In summary, AVNT's rally combines exchange-driven liquidity, speculative airdrop activity, and strong fundamentals as an RWA perpetuals platform. However, traders must monitor airdrop expiry dates, pivot levels, and broader market conditions. The token's ability to maintain demand post-16 September will determine whether the recent momentum translates into long-term growth or fades into a correction.