Avalanche Tests $20 Support After 55% Surge, Bulls Aim Higher

Avalanche (AVAX) is currently testing a critical support zone at the $20 level after experiencing a strong 55% surge from its local lows in early April. This level is pivotal as it could determine the next phase of price action, with bulls aiming to reclaim control and push prices into higher territory. Holding this support is crucial to maintain the bullish momentum that has been building over the past few weeks.

However, the current macroeconomic tensions and persistent global market volatility continue to weigh heavily on investor sentiment. Financial markets are responding to rising geopolitical uncertainty and interest rate concerns, which are putting pressure on altcoins like Avalanche.

Despite these challenges, some analysts remain optimistic. Top crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently highlighted a technical setup showing that AVAX is bouncing off the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart—a level closely watched by traders. According to Martinez, this bounce could act as a pivot point for bulls, especially if volume increases and price action confirms strength above short-term resistance. A clean move higher from here could reignite AVAX’s uptrend and bring it back into focus as one of the leading altcoins in the Layer-1 ecosystem. The coming days will be crucial in confirming the direction of this trend.

After months of volatility and sustained selling pressure, Avalanche is trading at a pivotal juncture that has taken the asset down from its earlier highs. Despite the difficult environment, sentiment appears to be shifting. Over the past few weeks, AVAX has drawn renewed attention from traders and analysts who believe the current structure could lead to a meaningful recovery. Market participants are closely watching for a confirmed reversal from the local lows to signal the beginning of a broader move into higher supply zones.

According to Martinez’s insights, Avalanche is currently bouncing off its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart—a level often seen as a key dynamic support in trending markets. This bounce is further supported by the TD Sequential indicator, which has flashed a buy signal, indicating that bullish momentum could be building at this critical price level. For this reversal to gain real traction, AVAX must not only defend current support but also break through short-term resistance zones to establish a bullish continuation pattern. This week’s price action will be crucial, as the broader crypto market also seeks direction amid macroeconomic uncertainty.

If bulls step in with conviction and volume confirms strength, Avalanche could position itself for a significant push toward the $25–$30 range. However, a failure to hold above the $20 level could result in further downside and a retest of previous lows. With technical indicators aligning and market sentiment improving, the next few sessions could define AVAX’s trajectory for the coming weeks.

Avalanche is currently trading at $19.98, testing a key psychological support level after a significant recovery from its local bottom in early April. Despite a modest bounce, AVAX remains well below both the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $29.80 and the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $26.30. This confirms that the broader trend is still bearish, and bulls have yet to reclaim any major technical ground. The recent price rejection near the $22–$23 zone suggests that sellers are still in control. Volume appears to be tapering off, signaling weakening momentum. The declining slope of both the SMA and EMA reinforces the structural weakness in the medium term. Unless AVAX can break above the $26–$30 resistance cluster, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.

For now, the market appears to be consolidating in a lower range between $18 and $23. If this support at $20 fails, AVAX could revisit March lows near $16. On the flip side, a decisive breakout above the EMA could spark renewed interest from bulls and signal a potential trend reversal. Traders should watch for increased volume and a close above $26 to confirm a shift in sentiment.