Avalanche Gains 10% on Institutional Adoption and ETF Hopes

Avalanche (AVAX) is showing renewed bullish momentum as it enters the second half of 2025, with the token currently trading around $23.79 after posting over 10% gains in the past week. This upward movement is attributed to growing institutional interest, regulatory developments, and a favorable technical setup, all of which could position AVAX for a significant price move into 2026 [1].

One of the most notable developments came on August 8, 2025, when BlackRock selected Avalanche as the second-largest blockchain by assets under management for its BUIDL fund, which focuses on tokenized Treasuries and bonds. This move, along with VanEck’s $100 million RWA fund targeting AVAX projects and FIFA’s migration of NFT ticketing to an Avalanche subnet, has bolstered institutional confidence in the network. BlackRock’s involvement alone injected $240 million into the asset in July, significantly reducing AVAX’s reliance on speculative retail demand [1].

Bloomberg analysts have estimated a 90% probability that an AVAX ETF will be approved by December 2025. Historical data from Bitcoin’s 65% rally following its ETF approval in 2021 suggests that such a regulatory milestone could act as a powerful catalyst for AVAX [1]. However, the approval of any ETF is subject to regulatory scrutiny and could be delayed if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) continues its cautious stance on crypto assets.

On the technical front, AVAX is currently facing a critical resistance level at $27, a price that has previously rejected the asset twice in July. A successful breakout above this level could trigger a rally toward $29.81 and potentially $34 by mid-2026, especially if it coincides with ETF approval. The 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $25.14 acts as a key support level in the short term, while $23.79 represents the current key holding point. The RSI reading of around 60 suggests there is room for further upside, although the MACD of -0.29 indicates lingering bearish pressure in the short term [1].

Price forecasts for AVAX in 2026 vary across platforms, with Coindoo projecting a potential range from $28 to $45 depending on institutional inflows and market sentiment [1]. Bitget, on the other hand, forecasts a more conservative 5% annual growth, estimating AVAX to reach $25.13 in 2026 and $30.55 by 2030 [2]. Meanwhile, 30rates.com predicts a wide range of $21 to $55 for AVAX by year-end, factoring in potential DeFi sector slowdowns and macroeconomic headwinds [3]. Gate.com offers a more aggressive long-term projection, suggesting AVAX could reach $36.72 on average in 2026 and climb to $50.80 by 2028 [4].

Short-term price forecasts for late 2025 indicate AVAX could fluctuate between $20.23 and $31.01 in August and September, reflecting general market optimism amid broader crypto sector recovery [5]. However, bearish pressures have also been observed, particularly in DeFi segments, where AVAX dipped to $21.67 in recent months. CryptoRank estimates AVAX could reach $21.41 by 2026, a figure that aligns with the more cautious market outlook [6].

Despite the varied forecasts, the overall consensus is that AVAX remains on a positive trajectory, with institutional adoption and regulatory clarity serving as the primary drivers. If AVAX can break through the $27 resistance level and secure ETF approval, it could become one of the strongest large-cap performers in the coming year. However, a failure to clear this level or a regulatory delay may push the token into a consolidation phase or even trigger a retest of lower support levels [1].

Source:

[1] Coindoo – https://coindoo.com/avalanche-avax-price-prediction-for-2026/

[2] Bitget – https://www.bitget.com/price/avalanche/price-prediction

[3] 30rates.com – https://30rates.com/avalanche

[4] Gate.com – https://www.gate.com/de/price-prediction/avalanche-avax

[6] Bitget – https://www.bitget.com/price/avalanche/news

[7] MSN – https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/avalanche-avax-falls-to-2167-in-defi-slowdown-while-mutuum-finance-mutm-eyes-1-by-early-2026/ar-AA1K2glu