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ASML shares surged 5.18% on October 13, 2025, with a trading volume of $2.18 billion, a 22.03% decline from the previous day, ranking 32nd in market activity. The stock's performance was driven by renewed investor confidence in its semiconductor lithography dominance amid supply chain normalization.
Recent analyst commentary highlighted ASML's strategic positioning in the EUV (extreme ultraviolet) lithography market, where it maintains a near-monopoly. Reports indicated that ongoing U.S.-China tech decoupling efforts have indirectly bolstered ASML's pricing power, as alternative suppliers remain scarce. Additionally, the company's R&D pipeline for next-generation High-NA EUV systems continued to attract speculative buying.
Market participants noted that ASML's recent earnings call emphasized sustained demand from memory chipmakers and logic foundries. While near-term production constraints were acknowledged, the company reiterated long-term growth trajectories aligned with AI and HPC (high-performance computing) sector expansion. This narrative contrasted with broader tech sector volatility, creating a favorable risk-rebalance environment for
.The back-test analysis revealed a 29.7% total return from January 2022 to October 13, 2025, with an annualized return of approximately 8.0%. The strategy demonstrated a Sharpe ratio of 0.53, indicating moderate risk-adjusted performance. Maximum drawdown reached 12.9%, while average trade gains stood at 0.86%, with winning trades averaging 3.8% and losing trades at -3.5%.

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