Asia Shares Rise as Dollar Strengthens on Elevated Bond Yields
Monday, Dec 23, 2024 9:31 pm ET
Asian markets started the week on a positive note, with shares rising despite subdued trading due to the holiday season. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.35%, led by gains in technology and consumer discretionary sectors. However, Japan's Nikkei fell 0.37%, reflecting the yen's weakness against the dollar. The strong U.S. dollar, currently near a two-year high, is a burden for Asian currencies, particularly in emerging markets. This is due to the dollar's inverse relationship with most Asian currencies, which are often pegged or managed against the greenback.

The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) also raised concerns about Nippon Steel's bid for U.S. Steel, impacting Japanese stocks. Shares of Nippon Steel last traded 1.5% higher, while Honda's stock price surged nearly 17% on news of a potential merger with Nissan by 2026. Meanwhile, China's CSI300 blue-chip index rose 0.5%, and the Shanghai Composite Index advanced 0.47%, as investors remained cautious about the outlook for the world's second-largest economy.
The strong U.S. dollar is also a headache for emerging market countries from Brazil to Indonesia that are having to intervene to stop their currencies from falling too far and stoking domestic inflation. Higher U.S. Treasury yields have increased borrowing costs for Asian firms, potentially impacting their profitability and growth prospects. Additionally, currency fluctuations can affect Asian companies' competitiveness and earnings.

Asian central banks have been actively managing their currencies and interest rates in response to U.S. Treasury yield movements. Japan's Finance Minister Kato recently reiterated Tokyo's discomfort over excessive foreign exchange moves, putting speculators on notice that authorities are ready to act to stabilize a faltering yen. This intervention comes as the dollar index held near a two-year high, driven by elevated U.S. Treasury yields.
In conclusion, the strong U.S. dollar and elevated bond yields are impacting Asian markets, with shares rising despite currency headwinds. Asian central banks are responding to these challenges by intervening in foreign exchange markets and managing interest rates. As the U.S. Federal Reserve continues to adjust its monetary policy, Asian countries must navigate the implications for their currencies, economies, and stock markets. Investors should monitor these developments closely and consider diversifying their portfolios to mitigate currency risks and capitalize on regional growth opportunities.
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