ARPA/USDT Market Overview (2025-07-16)

Over the past 24 hours (July 15–16, 2025), ARPA (ARPAUSDT) opened at $0.02215, hit a high of $0.02351, a low of $0.02214, and closed at $0.02324 at 12:00 ET. Total traded volume reached ~43.7M ARPA (volume) with ~$1.1B notional turnover (amount).

Summary

• Surge to $0.0231 fueled by a 48-hour high volume spike at $0.02351.
• Resistance at $0.0233 tested twice before pullback, signaling potential consolidation.
• Bearish engulfing pattern formed near $0.02335, hinting at short-term reversal risks.
• Volume surge (18:15 ET) confirmed upward momentum with 8.8M ARPA traded.
• Bollinger Bands expansion highlights heightened volatility post-peak.

Technical Analysis

Structure & Formations
ARPA’s 24-hour range shows a breakout above $0.0231 resistance, marked by a bullish engulfing candle at $0.02308–$0.02312 on July 15. However, a subsequent bearish engulfing pattern near $0.02335 (July 16) suggests traders are taking profits. Key support lies at $0.0230 (50% retracement of the July 15 high), while $0.0227–$0.0228 acts as secondary support.

Moving Averages
The 20-period MA ($0.0231) remains above the 50-period MA ($0.0229), signaling short-term bullish bias. On a daily chart, ARPA trades above its 50-day MA ($0.0225) but lags below the 100/200-day MAs, indicating mixed momentum.

MACD & RSI
The MACD line crossed above its signal line (July 16), reinforcing buying pressure, while RSI holds neutral at ~55, avoiding overbought/oversold extremes.

Bollinger Bands
Price touched the upper band ($0.0235) during the July 15 surge, signaling overbought conditions. A contraction post-spike suggests narrowing volatility, with the price now hugging the middle band.

Volume & Turnover
The largest volume spike (8.8M ARPA) occurred at $0.02312 (July 15 18:15 ET), aligning with price highs—a bullish volume confirmation. Lower turnover in recent candles (vs. earlier peaks) may indicate waning momentum.

Fibonacci Retracements
A 38.2% retracement of the July 15 swing ($0.0229–$0.0235) sits at $0.0232, acting as minor support. A 61.8% retracement at $0.0228 could test further dips.

Outlook & Risks

ARPA may consolidate near $0.0230–$0.0232 in the next 24 hours, with $0.0227 acting as a deeper floor. Bullish momentum could resume if buyers reclaim $0.0233 resistance, but fading volume and bearish patterns suggest caution. Investors should monitor $0.0225 (200-day MA) as a key long-term support. As volatility remains elevated, stop-loss orders near $0.0227 are advisable.