ARKUSDT Market Overview: 24-Hour Price Action and Volatility Breakdown

Generated by AI AgentTradeCipherReviewed byAInvest News Editorial Team
Wednesday, Nov 12, 2025 4:40 am ET2min read
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- ARK/Tether (ARKUSDT) traded between 0.3119–0.3435 over 24 hours, closing bearishly near mid-range with a 3.64M volume surge.

- RSI hit oversold levels (15) and rebounded to 30–40, while MACD showed narrowing bearish momentum, hinting at a potential short-term bounce.

- Key support at 0.3140–0.3160 and resistance near 0.3235–0.3270 identified, with Fibonacci levels (38.2% at 0.3255) as potential targets.

- A 1-day RSI-oversold strategy (2022–2025) yielded 13.79% total return but a low Sharpe ratio (0.29), indicating modest risk-adjusted performance.

Summary
• Ark/Tether traded in a 24-hour range of 0.3119–0.3435, closing near mid-range with a bearish close below open.
• Volume surged during early morning ET with a pullback into mid-ET hours, while price consolidation suggests indecision.
• RSI and

momentum
indicators signaled oversold conditions during the session’s low, hinting at potential near-term bounce.

ARK/Tether (ARKUSDT) opened at 0.3222 on 2025-11-11 12:00 ET and closed at 0.3209 by 12:00 ET on 2025-11-12. The pair reached a high of 0.3435 and a low of 0.3119, with a total 24-hour volume of 3,644,504.00 and turnover of 1,187,984.46 USD. Price action featured a large bullish reversal after hitting the intraday low of 0.3119, followed by a consolidation phase and a bearish close.

Price showed signs of bearish exhaustion and short-covering during the session’s low, as seen in a long-tailed candle at 0.3119 and a sharp rebound to 0.3229. A notable bearish engulfing pattern formed around 18:00–21:00 ET, while a potential bullish harami appeared later in the session. A key support level seems to have formed between 0.3140 and 0.3160, while resistance remains in the 0.3235–0.3270 range. The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart were bearishly aligned through the session’s core hours, but the 50-period line showed signs of flattening, hinting at a possible reversal.

MACD lines showed a bearish crossover for most of the session, with a narrowing histogram toward the end, suggesting slowing bearish momentum. The RSI bottomed at 15 during the early morning low and recovered to the 30–40 range, signaling a potential oversold rebound. Volatility, as indicated by Bollinger Bands, expanded during the session’s low and contracted during the consolidation phase, with prices often sitting near the lower band before rebounding. This suggests a possible continuation of range-bound action but with increasing odds of a short-term bullish bounce from current levels.

Fibonacci retracements drawn from the 0.3119 to 0.3435 swing indicated key levels near 0.3255 (38.2%) and 0.3300 (61.8%) as potential resistance. A close above 0.3270 could trigger a test of these levels, whereas a breakdown below 0.3160 could target 0.3120–0.3110. The price remains in a tight channel and is unlikely to break out unless volume confirms a directional move.

Backtest Hypothesis
The RSI-Oversold 1-day-holding strategy was tested from 2022-01-01 to 2025-11-12 on

ARKUSDT
with the following performance:
• Total return: 13.79%
• Annualized return: 7.24%
• Max drawdown: 27.22%
• Sharpe ratio: 0.29

This strategy identifies oversold conditions and holds for one day, capturing rebounds in a volatile market. While it shows a modest edge in certain conditions, its Sharpe ratio and drawdown indicate a low-risk-adjusted return. The performance aligns with the 24-hour chart’s volatility profile—characterized by sharp swings and consolidation—suggesting that a refined version with tighter filters (e.g., volume confirmation, trend alignment with moving averages) could improve risk-adjusted outcomes.