ARK Invest Predicts $2.4 Million Bitcoin Price by 2030

ARK Invest has significantly revised its Bitcoin price forecast for 2030, projecting a remarkable $2.4 million per coin. This dramatic increase reflects a strong belief in Bitcoin’s market resilience and its potential for substantial growth. The new estimate is based on a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 72% under bullish conditions, highlighting the firm’s confidence in the cryptocurrency’s future.

David Puell from ARK Invest attributes this optimistic outlook to several key factors. Institutional investments and Bitcoin’s growing role as a hedge against inflation are driving these forecasts. The firm’s analysis suggests that as more institutions adopt Bitcoin, its value will continue to rise, positioning it as a robust store of value.

The latest analysis from ARK Invest outlines various scenarios for Bitcoin’s future price. The bullish scenario, which projects a price of $2.4 million by 2030, is supported by a CAGR of 72%. This is a significant increase from their earlier estimate of $1.5 million, reflecting growing optimism in Bitcoin’s long-term prospects. The bear case has been adjusted from $300,000 to $500,000, with an expected CAGR of approximately 32%. The base case has been raised from $710,000 to $1.2 million, reflecting around 53% CAGR.

Several potential catalysts could drive Bitcoin’s price higher, according to ARK Invest. Institutional investments, Bitcoin’s increasing acceptance as a hedge against inflation, and its perception as “digital gold” are among the most significant factors. These elements collectively position Bitcoin for substantial appreciation. Additionally, the analysis indicates that several countries are beginning to adopt Bitcoin as a reserve asset, and corporate treasuries are diversifying into Bitcoin, following the lead of companies like Strategy. Bitcoin’s emerging on-chain financial services may also contribute to increased capital inflows by improving the efficiency of traditional finance systems.

ARK’s ambitious Bitcoin price forecast is based on a detailed analysis of Total Addressable Markets (TAMs) and penetration rates among key contributing factors. The model also considers Bitcoin’s deterministic supply schedule, which is projected to approach 20.5 million units by 2030. A notable advancement in this year’s predictions involves the concept of Bitcoin’s “active supply,” which accounts for lost or long-held coins, resulting in price targets approximately 40% higher than predictions based on traditional models. “The estimates constructed using this more experimental methodology present a more aggressive stance compared to our previous bear, base, and bull cases,” ARK’s report indicated.

While ARK Invest is not the only entity making bullish predictions about Bitcoin’s future, various institutions and analysts share a similar optimistic outlook. Michael Saylor, founder and chairman of Strategy, has suggested that Bitcoin’s market capitalization could eventually reach $500 trillion, overtaking traditional assets like gold and real estate, establishing itself firmly as the leading store of value. This ambitious prediction was unveiled during the Digital Asset Summit held in March 2025, where Saylor indicated that such a market cap would imply a price of roughly $23.8 million per BTC. Standard Chartered has projected Bitcoin’s price could skyrocket to $500,000 by 2028. Further, IREN’s CEO, Daniel Roberts, emphasized the potential for Bitcoin to reach $1 million within the next five years, while Thomas Fahrer, co-founder of Apollo, expressed similar sentiments. Samson Mow, CEO of Pixelmatic, anticipated a $1 million price tag for Bitcoin by the end of 2025. H.C. Wainwright revised its 2025 Bitcoin price target upward to $225,000 from $145,000. Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee also suggested Bitcoin could exceed $150,000 by 2025.

In conclusion, ARK Invest’s revised Bitcoin price predictions paint a picture of significant growth potential driven by institutional investment and macroeconomic factors. While various market participants maintain an optimistic outlook, the actual realization of these forecasts is contingent upon several external factors, including market adoption and regulatory developments. As always, investors should conduct thorough research and remain vigilant in this rapidly evolving space.