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Summary
•
Communications Equipment Sector Gains Steam—Cisco Trails Arista’s Surge
While Arista Networks surged 2.54%, sector leader
Options Playbook: Leveraging High-Volatility Calls for Arista’s Near-Term Breakout
• MACD: 5.13 (above signal line 4.59), RSI: 82.24 (overbought), 200D MA: $156.57 (above), Upper Bollinger Band: $119.72 (below price).
• Key Levels: 123.1 (intraday high), 119.625 (intraday low), 112.146 (30D support).
• Short-Term Outlook: RSI near overbought suggests caution, but MACD divergence hints at potential continuation. Aggressive bulls should target a 123.1 break with a stop below 119.625.
• Top Options:
- ANET20250808C112 (Call): Strike $112, IV 69.28%, Leverage 10.41%, Delta 0.788, Theta -0.568, Turnover 8,264. High leverage and moderate delta offer amplified returns if price holds above $112.
- ANET20250808C113 (Call): Strike $113, IV 75.60%, Leverage 10.72%, Delta 0.749, Theta -0.589, Turnover 7,693. Mid-to-high IV and strong liquidity make this ideal for a continuation trade.
• Payoff Estimate: At 5% upside (target $127.72), ANET20250808C112 yields $15.72 (127.72 - 112), while ANET20250808C113 yields $14.72 (127.72 - 113).
Hook: If $123.1 holds, ANET20250808C112 offers 15%+ upside; bulls should add to positions above $121.635.
Backtest Arista Networks Stock Performance
The 3% intraday surge in ANET has historically led to positive short-to-medium-term gains. The backtest data shows that 57.19% of days experience a return within the first three days, with an average return of 0.70%. Over ten days, the win rate increases to 61.83%, with an average return of 2.14%. In 30 days, the win rate reaches 70.81%, and the average return is 5.90%. The maximum return observed following the 3% surge is 11.13%, which occurred on day 59 after the event.
Time to Ride the AI Infrastructure Wave—Position for Arista’s Next Move
Arista Networks’ 2.54% rally is a microcosm of the AI infrastructure boom, driven by sector-wide demand for scalable networking solutions. While RSI near overbought and a 200D MA crossover signal caution, the stock’s technicals and sector alignment suggest a higher probability of continuation. Investors should watch the $123.1 intraday high as a critical breakout level and monitor options activity for short-term positioning. With sector leader
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