Argentina's Q1 2025 GDP Growth Expected to Reach 6.1% Inter-Annually, Says Reuters Survey

Argentina's GDP is expected to have grown by 6.1% year-over-year in Q1 2025, according to a Reuters poll of nine local economists. The projection is based on the Estimador Mensual de la Actividad Económica (EMAE) data, which showed positive growth of 6.7% in January, 6.0% in February, and 5.6% in March. The sector with the most support for growth is energy, driven by a renewed boost from a drought-free field and increased consumption supported by positive prospects for trade and services.

Lithium Argentina (NYSE: LAC) reported its Q1 2025 earnings on May 14, showcasing a quarter marked by planned production shutdowns but reinforcing its commitment to cost discipline and ambitious growth plans. The company, which trades on both the NYSE and TSX under the ticker symbol LAR, is navigating what it describes as a "tough market" while maintaining its full-year production guidance.

The lithium producer’s stock has faced pressure in recent months, with shares trading at $2.63 as of June 12, 2025, down 4.71% on the day and significantly below its 52-week high of $5.20. Despite these market challenges, the company’s presentation emphasized operational resilience and strategic growth initiatives.

Lithium Argentina reported a 15% quarter-over-quarter decrease in lithium carbonate production for Q1 2025, with output reaching 7,200 tonnes compared to 8,500 tonnes in Q4 2024. The company attributed this decline to planned shutdowns for optimization purposes, emphasizing that April 2025 production has already recovered to over 85% of capacity. The company highlighted several key achievements during the quarter, including maintaining low production costs, executing a Letter of Intent with Ganfeng to jointly develop regional projects, and publishing an ESG report to reinforce sustainability commitments.

Financial Analysis
Lithium Argentina reported Q1 2025 revenue of $58 million, down from $67 million in the previous quarter, primarily due to lower production volumes. However, the company achieved a higher average sales price of $8,085 per tonne, up from $7,800 per tonne in Q4 2024, partially offsetting the production decline. Cash operating costs remained stable at approximately $6,634 per tonne, essentially unchanged from $6,630 per tonne in the previous quarter, demonstrating the company’s cost discipline. Management noted these costs were better than expected and announced cost-optimization initiatives targeting a further 5-10% reduction in costs for 2025.

Growth Strategy
Lithium Argentina outlined an ambitious growth strategy centered on its operations in Argentina. The company is advancing a 5,000 tonne per annum demonstration plant, with permits secured in Q1 2025. This facility will utilize new processing technologies for more efficient lithium recovery and reduced reagent use. The long-term vision includes targeting over 200,000 tonnes per annum of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) capacity by combining Stage 2 expansion at Cauchari-Olaroz with regional assets. The company emphasized its flexibility to produce both lithium carbonate and lithium chloride, positioning it to adapt to market demands.

Forward-Looking Statements
Looking ahead, Lithium Argentina maintained its 2025 production guidance of 30,000-35,000 tonnes despite the Q1 slowdown. Management expressed confidence that recovery optimization efforts will boost production in the second half of the year, putting full-year targets within reach. The company outlined four key goals for 2025 and beyond: maintaining cost discipline in a challenging market, executing stronger performance in H2 2025, progressing growth plans and strategic initiatives, and strengthening its financial position. Management specifically mentioned plans to enhance the balance sheet with additional debt facilities to extend maturities and provide financial flexibility.

Conclusion
While Lithium Argentina faces near-term production challenges and operates in a difficult market environment, the company’s presentation emphasized its focus on operational discipline, cost optimization, and strategic growth initiatives. Investors will be watching closely to see if the projected second-half production recovery materializes and whether the company can execute on its ambitious expansion plans while maintaining cost competitiveness.

References
[1] https://in.investing.com/news/company-news/lithium-argentina-q1-2025-slides-production-dips-but-growth-strategy-advances-93CH-4875267
[2] https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/06/18/3101469/28124/en/Argentina-Construction-Industry-Report-2025-Output-to-Register-an-AAGR-of-5-1-During-2026-2029-Driven-by-Private-sector-Investments-in-Renewable-Energy-and-Transport-Infrastructure.html