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Arbitrum's price is currently positioned just below a critical trendline that has been acting as resistance for over a year. A successful breakout above this level, coupled with recent on-chain activity, could potentially drive the price back to its previous highs.
CryptoBusy, an analyst, has identified this setup as a potential high-reward trade, noting that Arbitrum has been quietly consolidating while other coins have garnered more attention. This consolidation comes at a time when Arbitrum is gaining traction in terms of adoption. On July 15, it was announced that PayPal’s stablecoin, PYUSD, is now live on Arbitrum, which quickly propelled PYUSD to the top of the trending asset lists, highlighting Arbitrum’s growing significance in the stablecoin space.
Technically, Arbitrum's price had a strong run above $2.00 early on but has since been sliding, forming a series of lower highs with a descending trendline that has been in place since April 2023. The current price is hovering around the $0.44 to $0.48 range, which aligns with this trendline. If Arbitrum can break above and hold this zone, it could signal the end of the long downtrend. Volume has remained relatively quiet during this sideways action, but there are signs of building pressure. A strong close above $0.48 could confirm a real breakout.
Support for Arbitrum has held between $0.24 and $0.30 throughout much of 2025, acting as a structural base following a sharp decline in late 2024. This range has been revisited multiple times, indicating steady demand and accumulation. The extended period of consolidation has kept volatility low and reduced risk for new entries. Analysts suggest that the longer an asset holds within a defined range under resistance, the more powerful the breakout could become once confirmed. If the price fails to hold above the $0.44–$0.48 area after a breakout attempt, traders may watch the $0.36 level for a possible retest before new buying resumes.
The integration of PYUSD on Arbitrum adds a fundamental tailwind. With PayPal’s stablecoin gaining visibility and usage, Arbitrum’s role as a hosting platform may attract more institutional and retail attention. According to the analyst's forecast, this development is not a coincidence and may influence sentiment around ARB as the market re-evaluates its use case. While the price structure drives technical focus, this new fundamental event may provide added support for sustained interest in the asset.
Looking ahead, a clean move above $0.48 could target previous resistance levels at $0.60, followed by $0.80 and $1.20. If macro conditions support broader market recovery, traders may revisit the $2.00 range set after ARB’s launch. For now, the chart setup remains intact, with analysts continuing to monitor the trendline and volume behavior as Arbitrum price prepares for what could be its first real breakout in over a year.

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