Aptos/Bitcoin Market Overview: 24-Hour Technical Analysis

• Price declined from a 15-minute high of $3.688e-05 to a low of $3.58e-05, closing at $3.612e-05 on 2025-09-26.
• Momentum indicators suggest moderate bearish pressure, with RSI signaling oversold territory near 30–35.
• Bollinger Bands constrict in early morning hours before a breakout and expansion.
• Volume and turnover align with key price moves, particularly in mid-afternoon and late evening.
• A potential bullish reversal pattern emerged after a sharp pullback near $3.59e-05.

Aptos/Bitcoin (APTBTC) opened at $3.616e-05 on 2025-09-25 at 12:00 ET and reached an intraday high of $3.688e-05 before retreating to a low of $3.58e-05. The pair closed at $3.612e-05 on 2025-09-26 at 12:00 ET, down slightly from the opening. Total volume for the 24-hour period was 18,887.67, with turnover estimated at $6.85 (based on weighted closing prices).

The price action revealed a bearish consolidation after the high at $3.688e-05, with a key support zone forming between $3.59e-05 and $3.60e-05. A notable candlestick pattern, a bullish engulfing reversal, formed near $3.59e-05 in the early morning hours, signaling potential short-term buying pressure. Additionally, a doji formed at $3.618e-05, suggesting indecision and a possible trend reversal. The 15-minute 20-period and 50-period moving averages both sloped downward during the session, reinforcing the bearish bias.

Momentum indicators show a moderate bearish bias. The RSI dipped into oversold territory (30–35) near the low at $3.58e-05, suggesting a potential bounce. MACD displayed a bearish crossover with a negative histogram, though a flattening MACD line at session close hints at weakening bearish momentum. Bollinger Bands showed a contraction during the overnight hours, followed by a breakout and expansion in the early morning and mid-day, indicating a shift in volatility.

Volume and turnover were most active during key price moves. The most significant volume spike occurred at $3.59e-05, with $4,035.58 traded in one candle, coinciding with a price rebound. Turnover was broadly aligned with volume, with no significant divergence noted. This confirms that price moves were backed by sufficient liquidity. The late-night and early morning sessions saw a noticeable increase in buying interest, especially after the $3.59e-05 support level was tested.

Fibonacci retracement levels for the 15-minute swing from $3.688e-05 to $3.58e-05 highlighted key levels at 38.2% ($3.63e-05) and 61.8% ($3.615e-05). The price found temporary support near 61.8%, reinforcing the idea that this level could act as a short-term floor. On the daily chart, no major retracement levels were broken, keeping the pair within its broader consolidation range.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtesting strategy for APTBTC could focus on breakout entries at key Fibonacci levels, particularly the 61.8% retracement at $3.615e-05, paired with a RSI crossing above 30 to signal oversold conditions. Long positions could be entered with a stop-loss just below $3.58e-05 and a target at $3.65e-05. Additionally, a MACD-based confirmation filter could be added—entries are taken only if the MACD histogram is flattening or turning positive. This approach would aim to capture short-term rebounds from strong support areas while limiting downside exposure through disciplined risk management.