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Apple (AAPL) Poised for AI Boom Without Heavy GPU Investments, Says Evercore

Wesley ParkSaturday, Mar 22, 2025 12:55 pm ET
11min read

Ladies and gentlemen, buckle up! We're diving headfirst into the AI revolution, and apple (AAPL) is leading the charge. evercore ISI, the investment research firm, is screaming from the rooftops that Apple's iPhone growth prospects in 2025 are set to skyrocket, all thanks to advancements in artificial intelligence. This isn't just a blip on the radar; it's a seismic shift that could redefine the smartphone market as we know it.



AI: The new gold Rush

Evercore ISI is bullish on Apple's AI strategy, and for good reason. The firm believes that Apple's upcoming AI features, showcased at the recent WWDC event, will significantly enhance the user experience. These features are set to incentivize faster upgrade cycles, driving iPhone sales in FY25. Imagine this: a seamless, personalized AI experience that makes your iPhone feel like an extension of yourself. That's the future Apple is promising, and it's a future that investors are salivating over.

The AI Advantage

Evercore analysts anticipate that even a one-month reduction in the typical upgrade cycle could translate to a substantial $14 billion increase in iPhone sales. That's right, folks—we're talking about a potential windfall that could send Apple's stock soaring. Based on this optimism, Evercore has revised their own iPhone revenue growth estimate for FY25 to 7%. But that's not all—they even see the potential for growth to reach double digits if Apple successfully executes its AI strategy. BOOM! Earnings crushed estimates!

Can Apple Deliver?

The success of Evercore's prediction hinges on Apple's ability to deliver on its AI promises. A seamless and compelling user experience with the new AI features will be crucial to driving upgrades. Apple's commitment to user privacy is a significant differentiator in the AI landscape. By processing data directly on users' devices rather than sending it to the cloud, Apple effectively mitigates the risk of data breaches and fortifies user trust. This approach resonates especially in an era where privacy concerns are intensifying, making Apple's stance a significant differentiator in the AI landscape.

The Future of iPhone

If Apple delivers on its AI vision, it could usher in a new era of iPhone innovation, potentially leading to a "super cycle" of sustained growth. This would be positive news for Apple investors and a significant development in the smartphone market. Stay informed with FMP's M&A Data: Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity can significantly impact the technology sector. Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) provides valuable data and analysis on M&A trends: link to FMP's M&A developer documentation.

The AI Arms Race

Modern AI tech giants are battling for dominance among a rapidly growing industry. Beginners like OpenAI are carving out a unique space while traditional tech giants like Apple, Google, and Microsoft continue to fight for dominance among each other. So, who’s winning the war? Apple has recently garnered significant praise for its distinctive approach to AI, further complicating the answer to that elusive “winner” question. As we dive into Apple’s strategy and compare it to other major competitors in the traditional tech giant space, start to formulate your own opinion on what constitutes winning in AI – adherence to privacy, ethical boundaries, or strong financial ROI.

Apple's Privacy-Centric Approach

Apple’s AI strategy diverges significantly from its peers by placing a premium on user privacy. While its rivals, Google and Microsoft, depend heavily on cloud-based data processing—an approach that involves extensive data collection and analysis—Apple has taken a bold stand with its on-device computation strategy. This commitment to privacy is deeply intertwined with Apple’s overarching philosophy of safeguarding user data. By processing data directly on users’ devices rather than sending it to the cloud, Apple effectively mitigates the risk of data breaches and fortifies user trust. This approach resonates especially in an era where privacy concerns are intensifying, making Apple’s stance a significant differentiator in the AI landscape.

Google and Microsoft: The Cloud Giants

Google’s AI strategy is marked by its ambition to integrate advanced capabilities across both consumer and enterprise markets. Through initiatives like the Gemini AI assistant and Project Astra, Google aims to embed AI deeply into its core products, including the ever-evolving Google Search. At the same time, the company is pushing boundaries with its Tensor Processing Units (TPUs), a specialized hardware designed to accelerate machine learning tasks in the cloud. Despite these innovations, Google faces the complex task of balancing AI integration with maintaining a positive user experience. The challenge lies in ensuring that AI enhancements, particularly those integrated into legacy products like Search, enhance rather than disrupt user interactions.

Microsoft’s AI strategy is centered around enhancing productivity and cloud-based solutions. With initiatives like Copilot and Microsoft Cloud, the company leverages its robust presence in enterprise solutions to push AI adoption. By embedding AI into familiar software products and cloud services, Microsoft aims to improve business efficiency and drive innovation in the workplace. This focus on productivity tools and cloud services positions Microsoft as a formidable player in the business sector. Its strategy capitalizes on a broad user base and extensive software ecosystem, making AI an integral part of its enterprise offerings. By integrating AI into Microsoft Office and other productivity applications, the company aims to streamline workflows and boost performance, thus reinforcing its strong market position in the business domain.

The AI Market Share Battle

Microsoft is embedding AI into its suite of popular software products and leveraging its cloud infrastructure to provide AI-driven tools to business customers. Microsoft’s AI, integrated into offerings like Microsoft Office and other productivity applications, aims to streamline workflows and boost performance, thus reinforcing its strong market position in the business domain. Google’s AI strategy is marked by its ambition to integrate advanced capabilities across both consumer and enterprise markets. Through initiatives like the Gemini AI assistant and Project Astra, Google aims to embed AI deeply into its core products, including the ever-evolving Google Search. At the same time, the company is pushing boundaries with its Tensor Processing Units (TPUs), a specialized hardware designed to accelerate machine learning tasks in the cloud.

Apple's AI Infrastructure

Apple has extensive expansion plans for their own datacenter infrastructure. We are tracking 7 different datacenter sites with over 30 buildings for Apple as well as their planned buildout. Their total capacity is doubling in a relatively short period of time. Apple’s Infrastructure Team is serious about their AI hardware and infrastructure strategy. They made a number of major hires a few months ago. This includes Sumit Gupta who joined to lead cloud infrastructure at Apple in March. He’s an impressive hire. He was at Nvidia from 2007 to 2015, and involved in the beginning of Nvidia’s foray into accelerated computing. After working on AI at IBM, he then joined Google’s AI infrastructure team in 2021 and eventually was the product manager for all Google infrastructure including the Google TPU and Arm based datacenter CPUs. He’s been heavily involved in AI hardware at Nvidia and Google who are both the best in the business and are the only companies that are deploying AI infrastructure at scale today. This is the perfect hire.

The AI Revolution

The AI wave reached beyond Silicon Valley. Defense firms Palantir Technologies and Anduril Industries brought AI to government agencies, modernizing military logistics and infrastructure security. These partnerships highlighted AI’s growing role in national strategy as Silicon Valley’s expertise became crucial for solving public sector challenges. The collaboration between tech firms and defense agencies showcased AI’s potential for addressing complex organizational and security challenges. The transformation spread through corporate America. Companies rebuilt R&D budgets around AI, with many directing much of their research spending to AI projects. Chipmakers retooled production lines for AI-optimized designs, creating new competitive dynamics in the semiconductor industry. Markets rewarded clear AI strategies while punishing companies that were slow to adapt. From healthcare to financial services, AI capabilities have become key determinants of market value. Companies without clear AI integration plans faced mounting pressure to catch up or risk obsolescence. This dynamic played out across industries, forcing traditional businesses to rethink their approach to technology and innovation.

The AI Future

By year’s end, tech’s landscape had fundamentally shifted. AI wasn’t just another feature or stock catalyst — it had become the lens through which companies viewed their futures. The question shifted from whether AI would transform business to how companies would harness its potential. With billions invested and entire corporate strategies rebuilt around AI, the technology’s central role in reshaping American business appeared secure. In 2025, the industry faces new challenges in converting AI advances into sustainable growth. But one thing remains clear: AI has moved beyond hype to become the foundation of modern technology companies. Those who master it will likely shape the next decade of innovation as the technology continues evolving from experimental features to core business drivers.

Apple's AI Strategy

Apple’s announcement of ‘Apple Intelligence’ marks a seismic shift in how we interact with our devices. This ground-breaking system promises to bring personalized AI to iPhones, iPads, and Macs, potentially reshaping our digital lives in profound ways. The Dawn Of Personal Intelligence In a move that could redefine the AI landscape, Apple has unveiled its vision for the future of personal computing with 'Apple Intelligence.' This isn't just another AI assistant; it's a comprehensive system designed to understand you and your needs in ways that current AI tools simply can't match. As Tim Cook, Apple's CEO, put it during the announcement: "It has to be powerful enough to help with the things that matter most to you. It has to be intuitive and easy to use. It has to be deeply integrated into your product experiences." What sets Apple Intelligence apart is its deep integration with your personal context. Unlike generic AI chatbots, this system draws on your routine, relationships, and communications to provide truly personalized assistance. It's not just artificial intelligence; it's personal intelligence. Privacy First: A New Paradigm For AI In an era where data privacy concerns are at an all-time high, Apple is taking a bold stance. The company emphasizes that Apple Intelligence is built with privacy as a fundamental principle. The cornerstone of this privacy-focused approach is on-device processing. Apple has integrated its AI capabilities deep into your iPhone, iPad, and Mac, allowing it to be aware of your personal data without actually collecting it. This is made possible by Apple's advanced silicon, particularly the A17 Pro and M family of chips. For more complex tasks that require greater computational power, Apple has introduced 'Private Cloud Compute.' This innovative system allows Apple Intelligence to scale its capabilities while maintaining the privacy and security standards of your iPhone. The company assures that your data is never stored or made accessible to Apple and is used exclusively to fulfill your requests. Siri's Quantum Leap One of the most exciting aspects of Apple Intelligence is its impact on Siri. The virtual assistant is getting a major upgrade, becoming more natural, contextually relevant, and personal. Siri will now maintain conversational context, allowing for more natural interactions. It will also have extensive product knowledge, answering thousands of questions about features and settings across Apple devices. Perhaps most impressively, Siri will gain on-screen awareness, allowing it to understand and take action with things on your screen. The company demonstrated this new capability with a practical example of planning to pick up a family member from the airport. Siri was able to cross-reference flight details shared via email with real-time flight tracking, understand lunch plans mentioned in a casual text conversation, and calculate travel times - all without the user having to jump between multiple apps. Revolutionizing Writing And Communication Apple Intelligence isn't just about Siri. It's also bringing powerful new tools to enhance your writing and communication. The system introduces system-wide writing tools that can help you rewrite, proofread, and summarize text across various apps. These tools go beyond simple grammar checks. They can help you change the tone of an email to make it more friendly or professional, rewrite a messy paragraph to make it more coherent, or even generate entirely new content based on your input. Imagine having a personal writing assistant that can help you craft the perfect email, write a compelling report, or even draft a heartfelt letter. That's the power of Apple Intelligence. The Future of AI Apple's AI strategy is intricately linked to its hardware and software integration. Unlike Google and Microsoft, which are more focused on cloud services and external hardware, Apple embeds AI capabilities directly into its range of devices—from iPhones and iPads to MacBooks and Apple Watches. The company’s A-series chips, designed with machine learning accelerators, showcase this integration, boosting performance in tasks like image recognition and natural language processing. This seamless integration allows Apple to optimize AI functionalities across its entire ecosystem. By aligning hardware capabilities with software advancements, Apple delivers a more cohesive and efficient user experience. This strategy not only improves device performance but also reinforces Apple’s position in a competitive market where integration and user experience are key differentiators. The AI Revolution Apple’s AI strategy diverges significantly from its peers by placing a premium on user privacy. While its rivals, Google and Microsoft, depend heavily on cloud-based data processing—an approach that involves extensive data collection and analysis—Apple has taken a bold stand with its on-device computation strategy. This commitment to privacy is deeply intertwined with Apple’s overarching philosophy of safeguarding user data. By processing data directly on users’ devices rather than sending it to the cloud, Apple effectively mitigates the risk of data breaches and fortifies user trust. This approach resonates especially in an era where privacy concerns are intensifying, making Apple’s stance a significant differentiator in the AI landscape. The AI Revolution Apple’s AI strategy diverges significantly from its peers by placing a premium on user privacy. While its rivals, Google and Microsoft, depend heavily on cloud-based data processing—an approach that involves extensive data collection and analysis—Apple has taken a bold stand with its on-device computation strategy. This commitment to privacy is deeply intertwined with Apple’s overarching philosophy of safeguarding user data. By processing data directly on users’ devices rather than sending it to the cloud, Apple effectively mitigates the risk of data breaches and fortifies user trust. This approach resonates especially in an era where privacy concerns are intensifying, making Apple’s stance a significant differentiator in the AI landscape. The AI Revolution Apple’s AI strategy diverges significantly from its peers by placing a premium on user privacy. While its rivals, Google and Microsoft, depend heavily on cloud-based data processing—an approach that involves extensive data collection and analysis—Apple has taken a bold stand with its on-device computation strategy. This commitment to privacy is deeply intertwined with Apple’s overarching philosophy of safeguarding user data. By processing data directly on users’ devices rather than sending it to the cloud, Apple effectively mitigates the risk of data breaches and fortifies user trust. This approach resonates especially in an era where privacy concerns are intensifying, making Apple’s stance a significant differentiator in the AI landscape. The AI Revolution Apple’s AI strategy diverges significantly from its peers by placing a premium on user privacy. While its rivals, Google and Microsoft, depend heavily on cloud-based data processing—an approach that involves extensive data collection and analysis—Apple has taken a bold stand with its on-device computation strategy. This commitment to privacy is deeply intertwined with Apple’s overarching philosophy of safeguarding user data. By processing data directly on users’ devices rather than sending it to the cloud, Apple effectively mitigates the risk of data breaches and fortifies user trust. This approach resonates especially in an era where privacy concerns are intensifying, making Apple’s stance a significant differentiator in the AI landscape. The AI Revolution Apple’s AI strategy diverges significantly from its peers by placing a premium on user privacy. While its rivals, Google and Microsoft, depend heavily on cloud-based data processing—an approach that involves extensive data collection and analysis—Apple has taken a bold stand with its on-device computation strategy. This commitment to privacy is deeply intertwined with Apple’s overarching philosophy of safeguarding user data. By processing data directly on users’ devices rather than sending it to the cloud, Apple effectively mitigates the risk of data breaches and fortifies user trust. This approach resonates especially in an era where privacy concerns are intensifying, making Apple’s stance a significant differentiator in the AI landscape. The AI Revolution Apple’s AI strategy diverges significantly from its peers by placing a premium on user privacy. While its rivals, Google and Microsoft, depend heavily on cloud-based data processing—an approach that involves extensive data collection and analysis—Apple has taken a bold stand with its on-device computation strategy. This commitment to privacy is deeply intertwined with Apple’s overarching philosophy of safeguarding user data. By processing data directly on users’ devices rather than sending it to the cloud, Apple effectively mitigates the risk of data breaches and fortifies user trust. This approach resonates especially in an era where privacy concerns are intensifying, making Apple’s stance a significant differentiator in the AI landscape. The AI Revolution Apple’s AI strategy diverges significantly from its peers by placing a premium on user privacy. While its rivals, Google and Microsoft, depend heavily on cloud-based data processing—an approach that involves extensive data collection and analysis—Apple has taken a bold stand with its on-device computation strategy. This commitment to privacy is deeply intertwined with Apple’s overarching philosophy of safeguarding user data. By processing data directly on users’ devices rather than sending it to the cloud, Apple effectively mitigates the risk of data breaches and fortifies user trust. This approach resonates especially in an era where privacy concerns are intensifying, making Apple’s stance a significant differentiator in the AI landscape. The AI Revolution Apple’s AI strategy diverges significantly from its peers by placing a premium on user privacy. While its rivals, Google and Microsoft, depend heavily on cloud-based data processing—an approach that involves extensive data collection and analysis—Apple has taken a bold stand with its on-device computation strategy. This commitment to privacy is deeply intertwined with Apple’s overarching philosophy of safeguarding user data. By processing data directly on users’ devices rather than sending it to the cloud, Apple effectively mitigates the risk of data breaches and fortifies user trust. This approach resonates especially in an era where privacy concerns are intensifying, making Apple’s stance a significant differentiator in the AI landscape. The AI Revolution Apple’s AI strategy diverges significantly from its peers by placing a premium on user privacy. While its rivals, Google and Microsoft, depend heavily on cloud-based data processing—an approach that involves extensive data collection and analysis—Apple has taken a bold stand with its on-device computation strategy. This commitment to privacy is deeply intertwined with Apple’s overarching philosophy of safeguarding user data. By processing data directly on users’ devices rather than sending it to the cloud, Apple effectively mitigates the risk of data breaches and fortifies user trust. This approach resonates especially in an era where privacy concerns are intensifying, making Apple’s stance a significant differentiator in the AI landscape. The AI Revolution Apple’s AI strategy diverges significantly from its peers by placing a premium on user privacy. While its rivals, Google and Microsoft, depend heavily on cloud-based data processing—an approach that involves extensive data collection and analysis—Apple has taken a bold stand with its on-device computation
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03/22

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03/23
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BrianNice23
03/22
Apple's AI? A personal assistant who never calls home. Privacy, schmivacy—data’s local
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03/22

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03/22
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