Annaly Capital (NLY) Surges 0.90% Intraday, 5.80% in 5 Days on Analyst Upgrades, Institutional Buying

Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) shares surged 0.90% intraday on September 9, 2025, reaching a level not seen since September 2025, capping a five-day rally that pushed the stock 5.80% higher. The rebound reflects a convergence of analyst optimism, institutional interest, and robust financial performance, positioning the mortgage REIT as a focal point in the sector. Analysts have upgraded NLY’s outlook multiple times in recent weeks, with 11 brokerages maintaining a “Moderate Buy” consensus. Notably, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods raised its price target to $21.50, while UBS Group adjusted its target to $21.00, signaling growing confidence in the company’s strategic positioning.

Institutional investors have also increased their stake in NLY, with entities like Inlight Wealth Management and Financial Gravity Companies allocating new capital to the stock in Q2 2025. These moves, though modest in scale, underscore a broader institutional recognition of NLY’s defensive qualities and growth potential. The company’s ownership structure now sees 51.56% of shares held by institutions, reinforcing its appeal as a core holding in diversified portfolios. This trend aligns with NLY’s recent financial results, which included a $0.73 EPS beat and $273.20 million in revenue—surpassing forecasts by $36.20 million. Strong net margins and a conservative debt-to-equity ratio further highlight its operational discipline.

Technical indicators have amplified the bullish momentum, with NLY’s stock breaking above key resistance levels and maintaining a bullish crossover in its moving averages. While overbought conditions on the RSI14 metric (76) suggest caution, analysts note the stock’s adherence to an ascending trend line and robust institutional support as mitigants against near-term corrections. Despite these risks, the consensus remains tilted toward continued appreciation, with projected gains expected over the next three months. Investors are advised to monitor critical resistance at $23.47 and support levels at $19.72, while institutional activity and earnings momentum provide a strong foundation for sustained performance.