Analyzing Monday Jump Gaps: Berkshire Hathaway and BBVA’s Market Movements in 2025

The stock market’s volatility often manifests through abrupt price gaps—especially on Mondays, when traders react to weekend news, economic data, or corporate announcements. This analysis examines the daily jump gap rankings of BRK.A, BRK.B, and BBVA on Mondays up to May 2025, focusing on catalysts, technical patterns, and broader market implications.

Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A/BRK.B): Leadership Transition and Volatility

Berkshire’s shares experienced a historic downward gap on a Monday in May 2025, triggered by Warren Buffett’s announcement of stepping down as CEO. Here’s the breakdown:
- Event: On a Monday following the annual shareholder meeting, BRK.B shares fell nearly 6% in early trading, opening at $524 after hitting a record high of $539.80 on the prior Friday.
- Technical Impact: The gap-down breached key support levels ($519 and $490), marking a pivotal moment as Buffett’s 60-year tenure ended.
- Context: Despite the drop, Berkshire’s YTD performance remained strong (+17.3% for BRK.B vs. the S&P 500’s -6.4%), fueled by resilient insurance operations and a $347 billion cash buffer.

BBVA: A Gap-Up Driven by Strategic Catalysts

BBVA’s stock surged in April 2025, with a 9% pre-market jump on April 30 (a Tuesday) following Monday’s Q1 earnings and merger rumors. Key details:
- Catalyst: On April 29 (Monday), BBVA reported 23% YoY profit growth and announced merger talks with a Latin American bank, driving the next day’s gap-up.
- Performance: The stock rose 46.59% YTD through April 2025, fueled by strong loan growth (+15.1% YoY) and digital customer acquisition (+2.9 million in Q1).
- Risk Factors: While the gap reflected investor optimism, BBVA warned of macro risks like U.S. tariffs impacting Mexico’s economy.

Comparative Analysis: BRK vs. BBVA

Metric	BRK.B (May 2025)	BBVA (April 2025)
YTD Return	+17.3%	+46.59%
Key Catalyst	CEO Transition	Merger Rumors + Earnings
Gap Magnitude	-6% (Downward)	+9% (Upward)
Market Reaction	Short-term volatility	Long-term growth thesis

Broader Market Context

• Tech vs. Traditional Finance: Berkshire’s outperformance (despite the May gap) contrasts with tech-heavy indices, as its reduced exposure to volatile stocks like MSFT and META shielded it from declines.
• Geopolitical Risks: BBVA’s surge highlights investor appetite for banks with emerging market exposure, though tariffs and regulatory hurdles pose tailwinds.

Investment Implications

1. Berkshire Hathaway:
2. The May gap-down was a sentiment-driven reaction to Buffett’s exit, but long-term fundamentals remain strong.
3. Technical Targets: Analysts project a rebound to $585–$606 if it holds $519 support.

4. Risk: Succession uncertainty could amplify volatility until Greg Abel’s leadership stabilizes.

5. BBVA:

6. The April gap-up underscores strategic agility, with merger execution and Mexico’s economic resilience critical to sustaining gains.
7. Sustainability Focus: Its €29 billion in green financing (Q1) aligns with ESG trends, a tailwind for institutional investors.

Conclusion

The Monday jump gaps for BRK and BBVA in 2025 reflect divergent catalysts but shared market dynamics:
- BRK’s 6% downward gap was a reaction to leadership change, yet its cash reserves and diversified portfolio position it for recovery.
- BBVA’s 9% upward gap highlighted investor optimism in its growth trajectory, despite macro risks.

Investors should monitor technical support levels ($519 for BRK.B, $13.09% CET1 for BBVA) and geopolitical developments. With Berkshire’s YTD outperformance (+17.3% vs. S&P’s -6.4%) and BBVA’s 46.59% surge, both stocks present compelling opportunities—but with distinct risk profiles tied to leadership and regulatory outcomes.

In a market defined by gaps, these companies exemplify how catalysts, technicals, and fundamentals intersect to shape investor decisions.

Data sources: Berkshire Hathaway shareholder letters, BBVA Q1 2025 earnings report, and technical analysis from cited research.