Analysts Predict Less Than 10% Chance of Bitcoin Falling Below $75K by March

Bitcoin's (BTC) remarkable rally in 2024 has analysts bullish on its prospects, with many predicting a less than 10% chance of the cryptocurrency falling below $75,000 by March 2025. The cryptocurrency has been on a tear, more than doubling in price over the past year and reaching a new all-time high of $108,268.45 in November 2024. As we approach the new year, analysts are optimistic about Bitcoin's future, citing several factors that could drive its price even higher.



One of the key factors driving Bitcoin's price is institutional adoption. The approval of Bitcoin ETFs in the United States has attracted massive funds, with 2025 expected to surpass 2024 in terms of capital inflow. This institutional endorsement has solidified the bullish momentum for Bitcoin. Additionally, the incoming pro-crypto administration, led by Donald Trump, is expected to be crypto-friendly, which could further boost the market's confidence in Bitcoin.

Another factor contributing to Bitcoin's price trajectory is the Bitcoin halving event, which occurred in April 2025. While the halving did not have a dramatic impact on the price, it did reduce the supply of new bitcoins entering the market. This scarcity could contribute to price appreciation over time. Furthermore, the strong start to 2025, with the price consolidating around the $100,000 level, indicates positive market sentiment. The support at $90,000 has attracted buyers, suggesting that demand for Bitcoin remains strong.

However, it is essential to consider potential risks and black swan events that could disrupt the optimistic outlook for Bitcoin's price. Regulatory risks, market manipulation, security risks, technological risks, economic downturns, environmental concerns, and black swan events could all pose threats to Bitcoin's price trajectory. Analysts must remain vigilant and adapt their predictions as new information becomes available.

In conclusion, analysts predict a less than 10% chance of Bitcoin falling below $75,000 by March 2025, driven by factors such as institutional adoption, regulatory shifts, supply dynamics, and market sentiment. However, investors should remain cautious and consider potential risks and black swan events that could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory. As always, it is crucial to conduct thorough research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.