Analyst Insights on P&G, Carvana, Valero, Marathon, and Nebius: Ratings and Rationale

Saturday, Jul 19, 2025 8:00 am ET2min read

Procter & Gamble was downgraded to Hold by Evercore ISI's Robert Ottenstein due to shifts in consumer behavior and retail channels, particularly Amazon's rise. Carvana Co. received a Hold rating from Gordon Haskett Research Advisors due to its premium valuation and macroeconomic uncertainties. Valero Energy and Marathon Petroleum were downgraded to Hold by Wolfe Research and not specified, respectively, as their shares are nearing fair value and earnings momentum is hindered by seasonal factors. Nebius Group was initiated with a Buy rating by Goldman Sachs due to its leading position in the AI Neocloud market and cost advantages.

Analysts have provided mixed ratings on several prominent companies, reflecting a range of concerns and opportunities. Procter & Gamble (PG) was downgraded to Hold by Evercore ISI's Robert Ottenstein, citing shifts in consumer behavior and retail channels, particularly Amazon's rise. Carvana Co. (CVNA) received a Hold rating from Gordon Haskett Research Advisors due to its premium valuation and macroeconomic uncertainties. Valero Energy and Marathon Petroleum were also downgraded to Hold, with Wolfe Research and an unspecified analyst noting that their shares are nearing fair value and earnings momentum is hindered by seasonal factors. Nebius Group (NBIS) was initiated with a Buy rating by Goldman Sachs, highlighting its leading position in the AI Neocloud market and cost advantages.

Procter & Gamble faces a challenging landscape as Amazon's dominance in e-commerce has significantly impacted its growth potential. The company's underperformance on Amazon, especially in categories with high brand fragmentation, poses a challenge to its growth prospects. Additionally, macroeconomic pressures further complicate P&G's ability to adapt quickly to these changes. Analysts anticipate P&G's sales growth to fall below 4%, a threshold critical for operating leverage [2].

Carvana Co. has shown potential for market share expansion but faces challenges due to its premium valuation and macroeconomic uncertainties. The company's long-term growth plan is seen as a 'show-me' story, requiring sustainable execution to gain more investor confidence. Recent tariff-driven demand pull-forward is expected to impact auto sales volumes in the coming quarters, adding to the challenges faced by Carvana [1].

Valero Energy and Marathon Petroleum have both been downgraded to Hold, with shares nearing fair value and earnings momentum hindered by seasonal factors. Despite strong performance and outpacing the S&P by 18% year-to-date, Valero's shares are now trading close to fair value. Marathon Petroleum has also been downgraded to Hold, following a similar trajectory to Valero, with its shares nearing fair value and earnings momentum hindered by seasonal factors [1].

Nebius Group was initiated with a Buy rating by Goldman Sachs, highlighting its leading position in the AI Neocloud market and cost advantages. The company's full stack software offering and cost advantages make it a compelling investment opportunity. With a 12-month price target of $68, Nebius offers a positive risk-reward skew, and its AI infrastructure business is considered undervalued compared to peers [1].

References:
[1] https://www.tipranks.com/news/weekend-updates/procter-gamble-carvana-valero-marathon-nebius-trending-by-analysts
[2] https://www.ainvest.com/news/tide-turns-procter-gamble-commerce-crossroads-race-amazon-2507/

Analyst Insights on P&G, Carvana, Valero, Marathon, and Nebius: Ratings and Rationale

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