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An Intrinsic Calculation For Vault Minerals Limited (ASX:VAU) Suggests It's 45% Undervalued

Victor HaleMonday, Nov 11, 2024 8:35 pm ET
1min read
Vault Minerals Limited (ASX:VAU), a gold mining company with significant growth potential, appears to be undervalued by approximately 45% based on an intrinsic calculation using the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model. This estimate is supported by the company's strong earnings growth prospects, conservative financial position, and favorable valuation multiples compared to its peers and the broader mining sector.

VAU's forecasted earnings growth rate of 26.1% and EPS growth rate of 27.2% per annum are both higher than the industry average of 10.4%. This robust growth potential, coupled with its expected future return on equity of 8.3%, contributes to VAU's undervalued status. Additionally, VAU's low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13 and strong interest coverage of 3.05 indicate a solid financial position, reducing the risk of financial distress and allowing for greater flexibility in pursuing growth opportunities.



When comparing VAU's valuation multiples to its peers and the broader mining sector, several metrics suggest it is undervalued. VAU's EV/EBITDA of 11.43 is lower than the peer average of 13.2x and the industry average of 16.5x. Its P/E ratio of 11.41 is also lower than the peer average of 14.3x and the industry average of 18.7x. However, VAU's P/S ratio of 2.05 is higher than the peer average of 1.8x and the industry average of 1.5x, indicating potential overvaluation on this metric.



In conclusion, an intrinsic calculation using the DCF model suggests that Vault Minerals Limited (ASX:VAU) is undervalued by approximately 45%. This assessment is supported by VAU's strong earnings growth prospects, conservative financial position, and favorable valuation multiples compared to its peers and the broader mining sector. Investors seeking undervalued opportunities with significant growth potential should consider VAU as a compelling investment option.
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PlatHobbits7
11/12
45% undervalued? That's like finding a $20 bill on the ground! VAU is a steal right now. Go, go, go!
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Powerballs
11/12
Interesting to see VAU's valuation multiples compared to peers and the broader mining sector. Would love to see a follow-up article exploring the P/S ratio discrepancy further
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sesriously
11/12
Just added VAU to my portfolio! The Discounted Cash Flow model is a great tool for identifying undervalued gems. Thanks for breaking it down so simply
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xX_codgod420_Xx
11/12
Undervalued or just misunderstood? Need to see how VAU navigates the next quarter before considering it a safe bet. Will keep an eye on it, though
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dantheman2108
11/12
Finally, someone who gets it! VAU's growth prospects are through the roof! 26.1% earnings growth is not to be ignored, buying more shares ASAP
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Repa24
11/12
Not convinced. That P/S ratio of 2.05 is a red flag for me. Need to dig deeper into their operational costs before jumping in
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Certain-Dragonfly-22
11/12
Loving the maths behind this! 45% undervalued is a sweet spot for buying in, VAU is definitely on my watchlist now
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