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An Intrinsic Calculation For Bilibili Inc. (NASDAQ:BILI) Suggests It's 30% Undervalued

Alpha InspirationWednesday, Oct 16, 2024 12:40 pm ET
1min read
Bilibili Inc. (NASDAQ:BILI), a leading online entertainment platform in China, has garnered significant attention recently due to its substantial price increase on the NASDAQGS. Despite the impressive rally, the company's share price still lags behind its yearly highs. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, it may seem that all price-sensitive information has been factored into the stock's share price. However, a closer examination of Bilibili's outlook and valuation suggests that the opportunity to buy the stock at a discounted price may still exist.


Bilibili's intrinsic value, calculated using our proprietary valuation model, is $29.21. However, the company's current share price is $21.82, indicating that it is trading at a 30% discount to its intrinsic value. This discrepancy presents an attractive opportunity for investors to buy the stock at a relatively cheap price.


The company's earnings growth projections play a significant role in determining its intrinsic value. Bilibili's earnings are expected to increase by 87% in the upcoming year, reflecting a highly optimistic future. This robust growth should lead to more substantial cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

Bilibili's cash flows are another crucial factor in assessing its intrinsic value. The company's strong revenue growth projections, with annual growth rates expected to reach double digits in the coming years, will likely translate into increased cash inflows. This, in turn, should support the company's intrinsic value and share price.


Bilibili's low beta, which indicates a relatively stable share price compared to the broader market, also contributes to its intrinsic value. A low beta suggests that the stock is less volatile and may take longer to reach its intrinsic value. However, once it does, the share price may be less likely to fall back into an attractive buying range.


In conclusion, an intrinsic calculation for Bilibili Inc. (NASDAQ:BILI) suggests that the stock is currently undervalued by approximately 30%. The company's strong earnings growth projections, robust cash flow outlook, and stable share price contribute to its intrinsic value. Investors should consider this opportunity to buy the stock at a discounted price, but they should also evaluate other factors, such as the company's management team and financial health, before making an investment decision.
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