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Let’s start with the options chain. For next Friday’s exp (Dec 19), the and calls dominate with 60K+ open interest—nearly triple the nearest puts. This isn’t just retail FOMO; it’s institutional positioning. The $260 call, for instance, sits 13% above current price, suggesting big money expects a sharp rebound.
But don’t ignore the puts. The put has 25K OI, a 12% downside buffer. That’s not just hedging—it’s a floor. If AMZN dips below $228.94 (30D support), watch for a bounce. The block trade at $240 puts ($1.35M) also hints at dark pool activity, possibly from funds hedging long positions.
News Flow: AI Wins vs. Labor HeadachesAmazon’s AI bets are paying off. Anthropic’s $50B data center push and AWS’s $75B AI spending are tailwinds. The Daiwa Capital $300 price target isn’t out of reach if AWS growth accelerates. But legal risks linger—the disability lawsuit and NYC job cuts could trigger volatility. Think of it like a storm: the AI umbrella is big, but lightning strikes (lawsuits) can crack the foundation.
Actionable Trades: Calls for Aggressives, Puts for CautiousFor options traders, the (49K OI) is a sweet spot. At $235, AMZN would reclaim its 30D MA and test the $232.50 call wall. Entry: $2.50–$3.00 premium, with a target at $4.50 if AMZN breaks $240. Risk? A close below $222.80 (200D MA) would invalidate the setup.
Bearish? The put (15K OI) offers downside protection. If AMZN gaps below $228.69 (intraday low), this strike could catch a 5–7% rebound. For stock players, consider buying the dip near $221.06 (200D MA) with a tight stop below $217.41 (lower Bollinger Band).
Volatility on the HorizonAmazon’s story is a tug-of-war: AI growth vs. labor costs, legal risks vs. cloud momentum. The options market leans bullish, but don’t ignore the $200–$220 put wall—it’s a warning sign. If AMZN holds above $228.94, the $235–$260 range is in play. If it breaks below $221.06, brace for a test of $215. Either way, this week’s options expirations (Dec 12 and 19) will tell us who’s in control.
Final Take: AMZN’s options and news paint a clear picture—bulls are stacking chips on the table, but bears have a lifeline. Play the trend, but keep a seatbelt. The AI train’s leaving the station, but the tracks aren’t perfectly smooth.
Focus on daily option trades

Dec.11 2025

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