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If you’ve been watching AMZN’s options chain this week, you’ve noticed the call/put imbalance isn’t just a blip—it’s a stampede. The $235 strike (
) has 18,106 open contracts for next Friday, while the $300 call () sits at 51,322 open interest this Friday alone. That’s not retail noise; it’s institutional money betting on a post-earnings pop or AWS-driven rally.But don’t ignore the puts. The $220 strike (
) has 22,541 open puts, suggesting some hedging below current levels. The real drama? Block trades. A 500-lot call bought for $960K signals long-term bullishness, while a 830-lot AMZN20251121P240 put (expiring Nov 21) hints at near-term downside protection. The message? Bulls are stacking up, but they’re not ignoring risk.AWS Hype and Analyst Upgrades Fuel the FireAmazon’s stock isn’t just moving on options chatter. Guggenheim’s $300 price target and BMO’s 24% AWS growth forecast are fuel for the fire. Jim Cramer’s "It’s About AWS" thesis isn’t just hot air—AWS now accounts for 15% of Amazon’s revenue and is the backbone of its AI infrastructure. With a $2.4 trillion AI market forecast by 2032, AMZN’s Trainium chips and cloud dominance position it as a key player.
But here’s the rub: insider sales (CEO Herrington dumped 2,500 shares) and a 39.4 RSI (below overbought 70) suggest the rally isn’t all sunshine. The stock’s 2.5% gain Thursday was on 48M shares—a volume spike that could mean profit-taking if the $227.58 Bollinger Band breaks.
Trade Ideas: Calls for Short-Term Gains, Stock Buy-Dips at Key LevelsFor options traders, the AMZN20251226C235 call (next Friday’s $235 strike) is a high-conviction play. With 18,106 open contracts and AMZN trading at $226.81, this strike is just 3% out of the money. If AWS news or earnings beats push the stock above $235, the reward-to-risk ratio tilts sharply in your favor.
Want a safer bet? Consider the call (next Friday’s $227.5 strike). With 12,433 open contracts and AMZN hovering near the 200D MA ($215.51), a breakout above the $227.58 Bollinger Band midpoint could trigger a rally toward $235–$240.
For stock players, entry near $222.25–$222.89 (30D support) offers a low-risk setup. If AMZN holds above $222.89, target $235–$240. But watch the $218.06 lower Bollinger Band—a break below that would invalidate the bullish case.
Volatility on the Horizon: Positioning for AMZN’s AI-Driven MomentumAmazon isn’t just a stock—it’s a bellwether for AI’s next phase. With AWS growth estimates climbing and options data screaming bullishness, the next 7–14 days could be pivotal. The key is balancing aggression (calls at $235) with caution (dips at $222.25). As the RSI inches toward 40 and the MACD histogram (-0.65) hints at momentum waning, timing is everything. This isn’t a "buy and forget" trade—it’s a calculated bet on a company building its future in the cloud.

Focus on daily option trades

Dec.19 2025

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