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• Price declined by -0.96% from 0.003244 to 0.003217 over 24 hours with bearish momentum.
• RSI remains below 40, signaling potential oversold conditions but without clear bullish reversal.
• Volatility increased in the afternoon, with a 0.000036 range in a 15-minute window.
• Bollinger Bands tightened in the evening before a late-night price drop.
• Volume spiked at 19:15 and again at 06:45 ET, suggesting key price inflection points.
Amp/Tether (AMPUSDT) traded lower by -0.96% over the past 24 hours, opening at 0.003244 on October 5 and closing at 0.003217 as of 12:00 ET on October 6. The pair hit a high of 0.003276 and a low of 0.003187, with a total volume of 145,597,520 and a turnover of $470,124. Price action suggests a bearish consolidation phase, with key support forming around 0.003215–0.003203.
A strong bearish bias was evident during the late afternoon and early evening, with price falling from 0.003273 to as low as 0.003202 in a 2.5-hour window. The move included a bearish engulfing pattern at 17:30 ET and a long lower shadow at 19:15 ET, both signaling continued selling pressure. A doji formed at 23:45 ET, hinting at a potential short-term reversal, but buyers failed to commit.
Relative strength index (RSI) remained below 40 for much of the session, reaching as low as 34, consistent with oversold conditions. However, price failed to bounce on the first two oversold signals, suggesting weak follow-through. The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart both crossed below the price, reinforcing the short-term bearish trend. A 50-period daily moving average is currently at 0.003228, acting as overhead resistance.
Bollinger Bands showed a contraction in the evening hours before a sharp expansion following the 19:15 ET candle. Price remained below the lower band during the 20:30–22:00 ET window, indicating heightened volatility and bearish control. A key support level at 0.003203–0.003215 is now in focus, and a break below could trigger a retest of the 0.003187 level from the previous day.
Backtest Hypothesis
A potential backtesting strategy could exploit the recurring bearish engulfing and long lower shadow patterns observed during the late afternoon sell-off. By entering short positions on confirmation of these patterns and targeting a 0.5%–0.75% stop-loss above the candle’s high, the strategy could aim for a 1.5%–2% profit target near the 0.003203–0.003187 support zone. Combining RSI below 40 as an entry filter may improve accuracy, with a 20-period moving average acting as a dynamic stop-loss. The strategy would need to be tested across multiple cycles to validate its consistency in low-volume altcoin pairs like AMPUSDT.
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