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• Price surged to 0.003061 before consolidating near 0.003012, with 15-minute RSI peaking near overbought levels.
• Volatility spiked sharply during the early ET hours, with volume surging above 22 million at 20:00 ET.
• A bullish engulfing pattern emerged after the 0.002964 support level held during a brief pullback.
• Turnover diverged slightly from price in the final 4 hours, suggesting potential profit-taking.
• Bollinger Bands expanded significantly during the bullish thrust, indicating high market interest.
Amp/Tether (AMPUSDT) opened at 0.002973 on 2025-10-09 at 12:00 ET and peaked at 0.003061 on 2025-10-10 at 20:00 ET before settling at 0.003012. The pair closed 0.003012 at 12:00 ET, marking a net positive 3.7% move over the 24 hours. Total volume traded stood at approximately 132.3 million
, while turnover reached $396.9k based on the average price of 0.003004.The 15-minute candles showed a clear breakout pattern after 20:00 ET when a sharp rally lifted AMPUSDT above the 0.003019 high, confirming a bullish reversal. The move was supported by a volume spike of 22.6 million AMP, one of the largest in the dataset. Resistance at 0.003019 was decisively broken, but a minor pullback tested the 0.002964–0.002966 support zone between 21:00 and 22:30 ET, where the price found solid buying pressure. A bullish engulfing pattern emerged during this consolidation, suggesting the uptrend is likely to continue.
Moving averages on the 15-minute chart showed clear alignment by the end of the 24-hour period: the 20-period and 50-period SMAs were both ascending, indicating sustained momentum. On the daily chart, the 50- and 100-period SMAs were near convergence, while the 200-period SMA remained lower, offering a potential long-term support level. MACD was in positive territory with a narrowing histogram, hinting at potential consolidation ahead. RSI reached a peak of 73.2 during the morning hours, entering overbought territory but failing to show bearish divergence, suggesting further gains could follow if volume remains strong.
Bollinger Bands reflected high volatility during the sharp upward move, with price pushing beyond the upper band for a brief period before retreating slightly. The 20-period band width expanded significantly, indicating increased market participation. Price settled within the bands by the close, but the upper band remained elevated, suggesting that the 0.003021–0.003023 range could become the next key resistance. Fibonacci retracements applied to the 0.002964–0.003061 swing identified 0.003019 (61.8%) as a critical level, which was tested and broken. The 38.2% retracement at 0.002996 coincided with a minor pullback, reinforcing its role as a key support.
Backtest Hypothesis
The backtesting strategy described involves entering long positions on AMPUSDT when the 20-period and 50-period SMAs cross above, accompanied by a bullish RSI divergence and a close above the upper Bollinger Band. Stops are placed below the most recent swing low, and targets are set at the nearest Fibonacci extension level (161.8%). Given the recent breakout and alignment of momentum and volatility indicators, a backtest applying this strategy to the 15-minute chart would likely show a high win rate over the next 24 hours. The strategy also incorporates volume confirmation, ensuring that entries are only taken when volume is above the 7-day average, which would have filtered out weaker false signals.
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