Amprius Technologies Outlook: Mixed Signals Amid Volatility and Weak Fundamentals

Market Snapshot

Amprius Technologies (AMPX.N) is in a volatile and weak technical position, with more bearish signals than bullish ones. The stock has seen a 19.44% rise in recent days, but our internal diagnostic scores suggest caution due to conflicting analyst ratings and weak fundamentals.

News Highlights

Recent news includes developments across various industries, but few directly impact Amprius Technologies. Here are key highlights:

• Texas Instruments (TXN) at Bernstein Conference – On May 30, 2025, Texas Instruments shared strategic insights on its capacity expansion and positioning in industrial and automotive sectors. While not directly related to Amprius, the broader semiconductor sector could influence investor sentiment.
• First-in-Human Use of Remanufactured Robotic Instruments – A medical tech company announced the first use of remanufactured robotic instruments, which could signal growing innovation in specialized tools—possibly relevant to Amprius’s niche in advanced battery tech.
• Vodafone Idea Fundraising – The telecom firm approved a Rs 20,000 crore fundraising plan to strengthen its balance sheet and 5G rollout. While unrelated to Amprius, it highlights broader capital moves in the tech sector.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analyst sentiment for AMPX.N remains mixed, with only one analyst (Derek Soderberg of Cantor Fitzgerald) issuing a “Buy” rating in the last 20 days. The simple average rating is 4.00, while the performance-weighted rating is much lower at 1.85, reflecting a lack of confidence in the stock’s historical performance.

Rating Consistency: Analysts show a wide divergence in views, with the lone “Buy” rating contrasting sharply with generally bearish historical performance. The stock’s recent price rise does not align with the weighted expectations, suggesting potential short-term speculation.

Key Fundamental Factors and Internal Diagnostic Scores

• Net profit margin: -41.09% (internal diagnostic score: 0.00)
• ROE (diluted): -19.03% (score: 0.00)
• ROE (annualized): -30.32% (score: 0.00)
• Current assets turnover ratio: 0.54 (score: 0.00)
• Cash-UP: 0.45 (score: 0.45)
• PB-ROE: 6.88 (score: 0.03)

These weak margins and return on equity underscore Amprius’s struggles in generating consistent profitability, despite a modest positive score on cash flow (Cash-UP). Overall, fundamentals are a red flag for long-term investors.

Money-Flow Trends

Big money and institutional investors are cautious, with negative trends across large and extra-large flows. The block flow ratio stands at 0.49, indicating a mixed sentiment. Small retail investors are also bearish, contributing to the overall negative momentum.

• Large & Extra-large inflow ratio: 0.51 and 0.49, respectively, suggesting institutional caution
• Small inflow ratio: 0.48, reflecting retail investor pessimism
• Overall inflow ratio: 0.49, reinforcing bearish market dynamics

Despite a modest positive score in the fund-flow model (7.88), the underlying trend remains negative, suggesting that investors are not aggressively buying the stock at current levels.

Key Technical Signals

Technically, AMPX.N has a weak score of 4.49 based on four recent indicators, with more bearish than bullish signals.

Recent Technical Patterns and Scores

• MACD Golden Cross: A rare positive signal with an internal diagnostic score of 8.37. Historically, it has led to an average return of 7.1% with a 72.73% win rate.
• Piercing Pattern: A bearish signal with a score of 2.4. It has a 33.33% win rate and a low average return of 2.35%.
• Long Upper Shadow (seen on 1/15, 1/12, 1/08): A mixed signal with a score of 3.77. It has historically led to 48.48% success and an average return of 3.33%.
• Long Lower Shadow (seen on 1/06): A bearish signal with a score of 3.41, indicating a neutral to bearish bias with a 46.91% win rate and 1.75% average return.

Key Insights: The stock has shown a volatile and mixed pattern over the last five days, with bearish signals dominating. Investors should be cautious as the momentum is unclear and the technical quality of signals is weak.

Conclusion

Amprius Technologies is in a tough spot, with weak fundamentals, mixed analyst ratings, and a bearish technical outlook. While the MACD Golden Cross offers a rare positive sign, the broader pattern suggests caution. With a fundamental score of 1.32 and a technical score of 4.49, the stock is not a strong buy at this time. Investors should consider waiting for a clearer trend or improved financial performance before committing capital.