American Express Volume Dips 22.36% as Analysts Clash on AXP's Trajectory Amid Trump Tariff Risks and Mixed Technical Signals

On August 18, 2025, American Express (AXP) rose 0.52% with a trading volume of $0.65 billion, a 22.36% decline from the prior day’s activity. The stock’s performance reflects a mixed technical environment, with analysts split between “Strong Buy,” “Neutral,” and “Buy” ratings. Analysts highlight divergent views amid volatile signals, such as conflicting candlestick patterns and overbought conditions, suggesting caution ahead of earnings clarity.

Key risks include Trump-era tariffs targeting retail sectors, which could dampen consumer spending and indirectly pressure AXP’s revenue. While the company reported robust year-over-year revenue growth (429.64%), profit margins contracted (-0.79%), signaling operational challenges. Institutional fund flows remain cautious, contrasting with strong retail inflows. Technical indicators like the Bearish Engulfing pattern and Weak Relative Strength (WR) readings underscore the stock’s uncertain trajectory.

The backtest results for a volume-weighted trading strategy (2022–2025) show a 0.98% average one-day return and a total 31.52% gain over 365 days. This highlights short-term momentum potential but underscores the risks of market volatility and timing sensitivity inherent in such strategies.