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AMD vs. NVDA: A Reevaluation After AMD's 36% Decline

Eli GrantSaturday, Nov 16, 2024 9:33 am ET
6min read
The semiconductor industry has been a hotbed of activity in recent years, with two prominent players, AMD and NVIDIA (NVDA), capturing investors' attention. After a significant decline in AMD's stock price, investors may be wondering if AMD stock has finally become a better investment than NVDA stock. Let's analyze the recent performance, valuations, and growth prospects of both companies to determine if AMD's decline presents an attractive entry point.

AMD's stock price has fallen by 36% from its peak, while NVDA's stock price has increased by 183.59% over the past year. This disparity in performance raises the question of whether AMD's recent decline makes it a more attractive investment than NVDA.

AMD Market Cap


In terms of market capitalization, AMD is valued at $247.48B, while NVDA is valued at $3.42T, indicating a significant disparity between the two companies. Despite AMD's lower market capitalization, its recent decline may present an opportunity for investors.

AMD and NVDA have distinct product portfolios and target markets, which influence their financial performance. AMD focuses on data center, embedded, gaming, and PC markets, while NVDA targets gaming, professional visualization, data center, and automotive markets. Both companies have tapped into the AI craze, but NVIDIA has been more successful, with its stock up over 200% year-to-date and over 100% in the last 12 months. AMD, however, is up only 64% year-to-date, flipping its one-year return back into the green at 24%.

AMD Diluted EPS YoY, Diluted EPS


AMD's earnings growth rate has been impressive, with a 3-year average of 42% compared to NVDA's 24%. However, NVDA's profit margin is higher at 28% vs. AMD's 14%. AMD's growth is driven by its expanding data center and gaming segments, while NVDA's strength comes from its dominant position in AI and data center markets.

Analyzing the recent decline in AMD stock, which has fallen 36% from its peak, raises the question: is AMD stock finally better than NVDA stock? To answer this, let's compare their valuations and potential growth catalysts.

Firstly, consider the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, a common valuation metric. As of October 25, 2024, AMD's P/E ratio stood at 179.89, while NVDA's was 65.22. This suggests that NVDA is relatively undervalued compared to AMD.

Next, let's examine the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, which can be useful when comparing companies with different profit margins. AMD's P/S ratio was 7.8, while NVDA's was 34.4. Again, NVDA appears more attractively valued.

Now, let's explore potential growth catalysts for each company. AMD has been expanding its presence in the data center market, with record revenue in the third quarter of 2024. Additionally, AMD's entry into the AI market with its Instinct MI300X accelerators could drive future growth. However, AMD's gaming segment revenue has been declining, which may impact its overall performance.

On the other hand, NVDA has been dominant in the AI market with its A100 and H100 GPUs. NVDA's strong position in AI and its leadership in the gaming market make it a formidable competitor. Moreover, NVDA's data center segment has been growing, driven by demand for its A100 GPUs.

In conclusion, while AMD's recent decline may make it seem more attractive, NVDA's lower valuations and strong positions in AI and gaming make it a more compelling investment at this time. However, AMD's entry into the AI market and growth in the data center segment could change this dynamic in the future. Investors should closely monitor both companies' earnings and market developments to make informed decisions.
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Plane-Salamander2580
11/16
$AMD The monthly chart resembles a ski slope, inviting you down for some thrilling runs. I enjoy negative numbers on a chart because they indicate a potential for improvement, although I admit bigger negative numbers aren't quite as fun.
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themagicalpanda
11/16
$NVDA I've fully invested in $GL
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Turbonik1
11/16
$AMD isn't the sole representative of advanced microprocessors.
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Ok-Memory2809
11/16
$AMD added another 150 shares on Friday, bringing my total to 625. I'm hoping for a slight dip in price so I can buy an additional 375 shares. Regardless, I'm very pleased with my decision.
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NinjaImaginary2775
11/16
$NVDA Despite recent market volatility, Wall Street analysts remain overwhelmingly bullish on $NVDA ahead of its Q3 earnings report. Just one week away, on November 20, NVDA will host its Q3 earnings call, and the market is anticipating strong results.
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_punter_
11/16
$AMD https://x.com/WakeUpWild/status/1857785703322759294 A post from AMD's official Twitter account that includes a call to action for fans to wake up and engage with the brand's content.
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Corpulos
11/16
$SMCI Some food for thought. There's probably some accounting fraud going on. They'll most likely have to pay a fine, but bankruptcy isn't likely. It's doubtful they'll go under. They might struggle to find an auditor, but they're trying to contact all the businesses they have dealings with to create invoices and confirm dates for the investigation. This will also help the auditors' jobs. The company is a part of the booming AI infrastructure industry. They're partnered with Nvidia. They're one of the leading suppliers of rack systems. There are many YouTube videos praising their systems for their ease of installation, maintenance, and management. These videos correlate with the stock's growth and aren't even about buying the stock; they're about how quickly and easily their systems can be set up and fixed.
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Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.
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