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AMD vs. INTC vs. TSM: Will These Chipmakers Rally as High as NVDA?

Wesley ParkThursday, Nov 14, 2024 5:53 pm ET
4min read
The semiconductor industry is at a crossroads, with global revenue expected to decline in 2023 due to weak demand and high inflation. However, the long-term outlook remains positive, driven by the growth of generative artificial intelligence (AI) and the transition to the cloud. In this article, we compare the AI and cloud capabilities, financial performances, and strategic initiatives of AMD, INTC, TSM, and NVDA to determine if these chipmakers can rally as high as NVDA.

AI and Cloud Capabilities
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AMD, INTC, and TSM have made strides in AI and cloud capabilities, but NVDA's dominance is undeniable. AMD's EPYC processors power major cloud providers, while INTC's data center business is recovering. TSM's AI offerings are growing, but NVDA's A100 and H100 GPUs lead the market. NVDA's multi-quarter order visibility and auto revenue pipeline ($14B over 6 years) make it a strong choice for AI and cloud investments.

Financial Performances
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AMD, INTC, and TSM face headwinds in 2023, with global semiconductor revenue expected to decline 10.3% (WSTS). However, they stand to benefit from long-term growth drivers like AI and cloud transition. AMD's CEO Lisa Su is confident about its growth in the second half of 2023, driven by strengthening PC and server markets, and significant opportunities in data center and embedded segments. INTC, despite revenue and earnings decline, is focusing on turnaround efforts to improve prospects. TSM, with its diverse product portfolio, is well-positioned to navigate market fluctuations. NVDA, with its strong demand for data center products and generative AI, has multi-quarter order visibility and a robust automotive revenue pipeline. While AMD, INTC, and TSM have growth potential, NVDA's current momentum and strong Wall Street consensus make it a more attractive investment option.

SCPH, SMR, BTM, MSTR, CAN...Turnover Rate, Trading Volume


Strategic Initiatives and Partnerships
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AMD, INTC, and TSM are positioning themselves against NVDA in the AI and cloud markets through strategic initiatives and partnerships. AMD is leading the market in confidential computing, with major cloud service providers adopting its EPYC processors. INTC is focusing on improving its manufacturing processes and innovation to regain market share. TSM, while not directly mentioned, is a leading semiconductor manufacturer with a strong presence in the AI and cloud markets. While NVDA has a head start in AI chips, these companies' strategic moves could lead to a rally in their stock prices.

Conclusion
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AMD, INTC, and TSM have the potential to rally as high as NVDA, given their strong product pipelines and market positions. However, they face challenges in 2023, and their long-term growth prospects remain promising. Investors should monitor these companies' strategic initiatives and financial performances to make informed decisions. As the semiconductor industry continues to evolve, these chipmakers' ability to adapt and innovate will be crucial for their success.
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