AMD Stock Surges on Catalysts Beyond Top-Line Growth

Sunday, Aug 3, 2025 8:03 pm ET2min read

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stock sentiment has shifted from negative to bullish, with shares up nearly 70% over the past three months. Catalysts for the rally include progress with MI350 GPUs, the lifting of China export restrictions, and a joint venture with Saudi Arabia's HUMAI. Investor Kenio Fontes sees further upside, despite a higher market cap, citing AMD's reasonable valuation and positioning in the inference market. However, the rapid increase in AMD's share price has removed the 'argin of safety,' and revenue growth is expected to cool down in the years ahead.

Title: AMD Stock Sentiment Shifts to Bullish Amid AI and Data Center Momentum

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has experienced a significant turnaround in stock sentiment, with shares rising nearly 70% over the past three months. This upward trajectory is driven by several key catalysts, including advancements in the MI350 GPU series, the lifting of China export restrictions, and a strategic joint venture with Saudi Arabia's HUMAI.

The company's MI350 GPUs, which are aimed at data centers running large language models and generative AI, have seen a substantial price increase. The price of the Instinct MI350 AI GPUs is set to jump from $15,000 to $25,000, a 70% bump. This move underscores AMD's growing pricing power in the competitive AI chip market [3]. The new pricing is expected to contribute an additional $500 million to AMD's data center revenue next quarter, according to Morgan Stanley [3].

The lifting of China export restrictions is another positive development for AMD. These restrictions, which had previously limited shipments of the MI308 series to China, are now being eased, potentially boosting AMD's revenue and market share in the region [1].

Additionally, AMD has announced a joint venture with Saudi Arabia's HUMAI, which aims to leverage the company's expertise in AI and data center solutions. This partnership is expected to further enhance AMD's position in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region [2].

Investor sentiment towards AMD has shifted from cautious to bullish, with analysts upgrading their price targets and ratings. UBS, for instance, has lifted its 12-month price target to $210 from $150 while maintaining a "Buy" rating. Similarly, HSBC has upgraded AMD from "Hold" to "Buy," doubling its price target to $200 [1].

However, despite the positive developments, some analysts remain cautious. Goldman Sachs, for example, initiated coverage of AMD with a "Neutral" rating and a $140 price target, cautioning that AMD's server CPU share gains may decelerate due to rising ARM penetration and that merchant GPU market share may remain limited amid intense competition [1].

In conclusion, AMD's stock sentiment has shifted from negative to bullish, driven by advancements in AI chips, the lifting of export restrictions, and strategic partnerships. While the rapid increase in share price has removed the 'argin of safety,' investors should closely monitor AMD's earnings reports and analyst reactions to assess the stock's potential for continued growth.

References:
[1] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amd-stock-hit-210-2025-131824088.html
[2] https://www.ainvest.com/news/amd-stock-warning-earnings-2508/
[3] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amd-hikes-mi350-ai-gpu-205052675.html

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