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Here’s the deal: AMD’s options market is screaming bullish. With calls at $260–$275 dominating open interest and block trades hinting at strategic positioning, the stock looks primed to break above $265—especially with Intel’s Q1 supply issues creating a vacuum AMDAMD-- is ready to fill. Let’s break down why this is a setup worth watching.
Bullish OI Clusters and Block Trade SignalsAMD’s options chain tells a clear story. For Friday’s expiry, the top 5 OTM calls cluster between $260 (15,343 OI) and $275 (5,416 OI), while puts skew wildly bearish with $165 (11,271 OI) as the most bet-on downside level. The put/call ratio of 1.05 for open interest isn’t bearish—it’s neutral, but the distribution matters. Heavy call OI at $260–$275 suggests traders are pricing in a $265+ move, while the $165 put OI feels like a panic-level bet that’s unlikely to touch.
Block trades add intrigue. A 1,600-lot sale of AMD20260123C242.5AMD20260123C242.5-- (expiring today) and massive March 2026 trades on $260 calls/puts indicate big players are hedging or scaling positions ahead of Q1 earnings. The $260 strike is a key inflection point—break above it, and the 200D MA at $160.10 becomes just a memory.
News Flow: Intel’s Pain Is AMD’s GainIntel’s Q4 supply chain warnings and AMD’s Ryzen 7 9850X3D launch aren’t just headlines—they’re catalysts. Intel’s Q1 shortages mean customers have fewer alternatives, and AMD’s 52% gross margin (Q3 2025) shows it can turn higher pricing into profits. The OpenAI partnership and MI400 AI accelerator rollout? Those are long-term plays, but they’re already boosting short-term sentiment.
Here’s the catch: If Intel’s supply issues resolve faster than expected, AMD’s premium pricing power could fade. But given the current trajectory, the stock’s 30D support at $214.79 feels like a floor, not a target.
Actionable Trade IdeasFor options traders: Buy AMD20260130C260AMD20260130C260-- (next Friday expiry) at $265 strike if price holds above $256.25 (intraday low). The RSI at 74.68 hints at overbought conditions, but the MACD histogram (4.59) and bullish Kline pattern suggest momentum isn’t dying yet. For a conservative play, sell covered calls at $265 with a stop-loss below $250 (200D MA is too far to reach in a week).
Stock traders: Consider entries near $250 if price dips to the 200D MA support zone ($160.10–$163.83 is too deep). A better setup? Wait for a pullback to the 30D MA at $217.79—yes, that’s a stretch—but AMD’s 100D MA at $210.01 could act as a stepping stone. Target $275 if the 20-day Bollinger Band upper ($247.23) breaks; the middle band ($220.71) is already in the rearview.
Volatility on the HorizonAMD’s options market is pricing in a volatile March. With block trades on March 2026 $260 calls/puts and the stock already above its 200D MA, this isn’t a "buy and forget" trade. But if the AI hype holds and Intel’s issues linger, AMD could retest its intraday high of $266.95 by expiry—and maybe push higher. Keep an eye on the 200D MA as a psychological floor; if it breaks, the puts at $220–$240 suddenly look more relevant.
Bottom line: AMD’s options and fundamentals are aligned for a short-term bullish breakout. The risks? Overbought RSI and Intel’s potential rebound. But for now, the data says this stock is on a roll—and the options market is betting on a $275+ finish.

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