AMD Options Signal Bullish Bets at $320 and $260—Here’s How to Play the AI Chipmaker’s Volatility

Generated by AI AgentOptions FocusReviewed byAInvest News Editorial Team
Friday, Dec 12, 2025 1:45 pm ET2min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- AMD's stock fell 3.26% amid volatile trading, with heavy call options at $320 and puts at $180 indicating mixed market sentiment.

- Technical indicators and block trades suggest institutional positioning ahead of potential catalysts, balancing AI growth hopes against risks.

- The stock's future hinges on AI

sales and software ecosystem strength, with key support/resistance levels at $200 and $260.

  • AMD trades at $214.22, down 3.26% from $221.43 after a volatile session with intraday swings from $209.06 to $222.49.
  • Options market shows heavy call open interest at $320 (next Friday) and $260, while puts at $180 and $100 hint at downside caution.
  • Block trades in October/September options suggest institutional positioning ahead of potential catalysts.

The core insight? AMD’s options activity and technicals paint a mixed but actionable picture: bulls are betting on a $260+ rebound, while bears eye a test of $200. Here’s how to navigate the crossroads.Bullish Calls at $320 and Bearish Puts at $180: What’s the Play?

AMD’s options chain is split. For next Friday’s expirations, the

call has 15,814 open contracts—the highest of any strike—while the put has 18,128 open contracts. This suggests a tug-of-war: big money is hedging a potential $180 support break but also eyeing a $320+ pop if AI demand accelerates.

The MACD (-2.68) and RSI (65.28) hint at short-term exhaustion, but the 30-day moving average ($230.42) still looms as resistance. Block trades like the AMD20251017C165 (1,500 contracts bought for $991,500) and AMD20250919P155 (1,600 puts bought) show prior positioning for volatility, likely tied to earnings or geopolitical shifts.

News vs. Options: Can AMD’s AI Ambitions Outpace Risks?

Recent headlines are a mixed bag. The White House’s China-Nvidia deal and Oracle’s accounting issues cast shadows on AMD’s "second-source" thesis. Yet Q3 results ($9.2B revenue) and a $300 price target from Barclays highlight AI growth potential. The key question: Will investors prioritize AMD’s EPYC server dominance and Ryzen AI expansion, or fear Nvidia’s software edge (CUDA vs. ROCm)?

Options sentiment leans neutral. The put/call ratio (0.96) suggests balanced bets, but heavy call OI at $320 implies some are banking on a breakout if AI infrastructure spending rebounds. The risk? If Oracle’s budget cuts spread, the $200 (lower Bollinger Band) could crumble.

Actionable Trades: Calls, Puts, and Precision Entries

For options traders, consider:

  • (next Friday, OI: 13,738): Buy if closes above $225 today. Target: $260 break-even in 7 days. Stop-loss: $240.
  • (next Friday, OI: 13,741): Hedge downside risk if the stock dips below $215. Target: $200 support holds.

For stock traders, watch these levels:

  • Entry near $210–$215: Buy if AMD rebounds above the 30-day support ($220.54). Target: $230 (50-day MA) first, then $250.
  • Short near $225: Sell into strength if the stock tests the 30-day MA ($230.42). Stop-loss: $235.

Volatility on the Horizon: Balancing AI Hype and Reality

AMD’s future hinges on two forces: its ability to scale AI chip sales (MI300, Instinct MI350) and the durability of its software ecosystem. The options market is pricing in a 30% move either way by December 19. If the stock holds above $200, the $260 call bets could pay off. If it breaks below $197 (lower Bollinger Band), the puts at $180 might ignite a short squeeze.

Bottom line: This is a high-stakes chess match. Play it with clear stops and a focus on the $220–$230 corridor. The AI supercycle isn’t over yet—and neither is AMD’s rally.

Comments



Add a public comment...
No comments

No comments yet