Altcoin Market Shows 91-Day Expansion Cycle With 33% Volume Increase

Coin WorldSunday, Jul 6, 2025 9:08 am ET
3min read

The altcoin market has demonstrated a recurring pattern of expansion, with its market capitalization repeating a 91-day cycle. This phenomenon has been observed over an extended period, indicating a consistent trend in the market's behavior. The cycle begins with a period of growth, followed by a stabilization phase, and then a subsequent expansion. This pattern suggests that the altcoin market may be influenced by underlying factors that drive its cyclical nature.

The 91-day cycle is characterized by a predictable sequence of events. Initially, there is a phase of rapid growth, where the market capitalization of altcoins increases significantly. This is followed by a period of consolidation, where the market stabilizes and the growth rate slows down. Finally, the cycle concludes with another phase of expansion, where the market capitalization continues to rise. This pattern has been observed repeatedly, indicating a strong correlation between the market's behavior and the 91-day cycle.

According to a new analysis, the altcoin market has followed a precise 91-day structure in two separate cycles. These cycles tracked the total crypto market capitalization excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum (TOTAL3), over a weekly timeframe. In both phases, market structure, volume, and expansion patterns aligned across identical time intervals, suggesting a consistent structural repetition. The first cycle unfolded over 13 weekly bars, lasting exactly 91 days. During this phase, the market cap transitioned from a flat range into a breakout move. That period saw a cumulative volume of $8.7 trillion. In a mirrored structure, the second cycle followed the same 91-day length and also included 13 bars. However, the second period recorded a higher total volume of $11.8 trillion, marking an increase in accumulation activity. Despite similar timeframes, the second cycle delivered stronger upward movement. Expansion was sharper, with price action accelerating more aggressively than in the earlier phase. No retracement patterns were recorded across the final weeks of either cycle.

An ascending trendline dating back to mid-2022 has acted as support during both accumulation periods. The trendline connects multiple market lows, extending through early 2024. Each correction phase respected this level. No breakdown occurred during consolidation, keeping the upward channel structurally sound. Throughout both 91-day cycles, the market consistently traded above the trendline. The pattern remained uninterrupted despite temporary pullbacks in volume and price action. The most recent data confirms that the TOTAL3 market cap now exceeds $1.3 trillion. This is among the largest increases recorded outside of Bitcoin and Ethereum since late 2021. The upward candles show vertical movements with limited retracement, echoing the expansion behavior seen in the previous cycle.

Market momentum during the current cycle has matched that of the prior 91-day run. The structure, volume, and timing remain aligned across both cycles. This points to a recurring model rather than isolated movements. Between the two cycles, total volume grew from $8.7 trillion to $11.8 trillion. This shows a clear rise in accumulation during the same structural timeframe. Each 91-day period reflected an identical progression in terms of duration, number of bars, and directional momentum. The upcoming week marks the 92nd day of the second cycle. The structure remains consistent with no deviation from the earlier phase. As of now, the trendline support and identical duration continue to frame the expansion behavior. The current breakout reflects earlier movement patterns based on identical cycle timing, market structure, and volume growth.

The implications of this pattern are significant for investors and traders in the altcoin market. Understanding the 91-day cycle can provide valuable insights into the market's future movements and help investors make informed decisions. For example, during the growth phase, investors may choose to increase their exposure to altcoins, while during the consolidation phase, they may opt to hold their positions or reduce their risk. Similarly, during the expansion phase, investors may look for opportunities to enter new positions or increase their existing holdings.

The 91-day cycle also highlights the importance of long-term investment strategies in the altcoin market. While short-term fluctuations can be unpredictable, the overall trend of the market is more stable and follows a predictable pattern. This suggests that investors who adopt a long-term perspective and focus on the underlying fundamentals of the altcoins they invest in are more likely to achieve success in the market.

In conclusion, the altcoin market's 91-day cycle of expansion provides a valuable framework for understanding the market's behavior and making informed investment decisions. By recognizing the pattern and adapting their strategies accordingly, investors can navigate the market more effectively and achieve their financial goals.

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