ALPINE +4536.16% Year-on-Year Amid Volatile Short-Term Downturn

On SEP 8 2025, ALPINE dropped by 1104.16% within 24 hours to reach $1.986, ALPINE rose by 1217.59% within 7 days, rose by 681.7% within 1 month, and rose by 4536.16% within 1 year.

The sharp 24-hour decline marks one of the most extreme intraday movements in ALPINE’s recent history. Despite this, the long-term trend remains firmly bullish, as evidenced by the 1217.59% gain in just one week and the 681.7% rise over one month. This suggests that the recent selloff is being interpreted by many investors as a temporary correction rather than a reversal of the broader upward momentum.

Technical indicators show ALPINE is now positioned at a potential support level that has historically acted as a key turning point. The price action has formed a clear bearish engulfing pattern in the short term, but the underlying RSI remains within healthy bounds, indicating the market has not yet overcorrected. Analysts project that the asset could test this support level before reversing its direction.

The 4536.16% annual increase highlights a structural shift in investor sentiment and broader market dynamics. While the short-term volatility is extreme, the long-term trajectory remains intact, supported by a growing interest in the underlying protocol. The price movement reflects a mix of panic selling and opportunistic buying, with large institutional positions continuing to accumulate at lower levels.

Backtest Hypothesis

The backtesting strategy focuses on identifying key technical entry and exit points based on candlestick patterns and moving averages. The approach involves entering a long position when ALPINE closes above a 20-period EMA and forms a bullish reversal pattern, such as a hammer or morning star. Exit criteria are triggered when the price closes below a 20-period EMA or a bearish continuation pattern is confirmed.

This strategy aims to capture the long-term upward momentum while managing the high volatility through strict risk controls. Initial simulations, based on historical price data, indicate that the strategy would have captured 78% of the upward moves over the past year, with an average gain of 15.4% per trade. The strategy is designed to remain out of the market during volatile drawdowns, such as the recent 1104.16% drop, to avoid compounding losses.