Alphabet Shares Jump 4.5% to $251.61 on Heavy Volume as Technicals Flash Bullish Signals
Generated by AI AgentAinvest Technical Radar
Monday, Sep 15, 2025 6:35 pm ET2min read
GOOGL--
Aime Summary
Alphabet A (GOOGL) shares surged 4.49% in the latest session, marking the third consecutive day of gains and a 5.20% advance over this period. The closing price of $251.61 approached the session high of $252.41 amid robust trading volume of 58.2 million shares. This analysis examines the technical structure through multiple indicators.
Candlestick Theory
The three consecutive white candlesticks with progressively higher closes form a "Three White Soldiers" pattern – a bullish continuation signal following the consolidation near $240. The latest long-bodied candle breached the psychological resistance at $250, with the upper shadow at $252.41 suggesting temporary profit-taking. Immediate support now lies at $244.66 (prior session low), while major support rests at the $230-$235 consolidation zone from early September. The breakout above $250 establishes new resistance near $252.50.
Moving Average Theory
The short-term 50-day moving average ($223 estimated) maintains a positive slope above the rising 100-day ($214 estimated) and 200-day ($195 estimated) averages, confirming a bullish long-term structure. The current price trades 12.8% above the 50-DMA, reflecting strong momentum. The sustained golden cross formation (50-DMA above 200-DMA since August) underscores the dominant uptrend. Moving average alignment supports continuation above $240.
MACD & KDJ Indicators
The MACD (12,26,9) shows accelerating bullish momentum, with the MACD line widening above the signal line following a recent centerline crossover. Histogram bars are expanding positively. Meanwhile, the KDJ oscillator (K:88, D:85, J:94) resides in overbought territory, with the %J line near 100 indicating stretched momentum. While this warns of potential consolidation, both oscillators lack bearish divergences, suggesting any pullback may be contained.
Bollinger Bands
Bands are expanding (20-period bandwidth increased 25% this week), reflecting heightened volatility during the breakout. Price trades near the upper band ($253), signaling short-term overextension. The breach of the upper BollingerBINI-- band historically preceded pullbacks to the 20-period SMA ($234), but band expansion during strong trends often allows price to ride the upper band. Watch for contraction to signal reduced momentum.
Volume-Price Relationship
Volume surged 117% during the breakout, with the latest session's 58.2 million shares exceeding the 30-day average. This volume confirmation validates the breakout's strength. Notably, the September 3rd rally on 103M shares established a high-volume support node at $230. The volume profile shows increasing participation on up days versus light volume during minor pullbacks, supporting trend sustainability.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The 14-day RSI reading of 82 indicates severely overbought conditions. While RSI above 70 typically signals overextension, during powerful uptrends (like the current 45% YTD gain), RSI can remain elevated for extended periods. The absence of bearish divergences suggests the primary trend remains intact, but this reading increases near-term vulnerability to profit-taking.
Fibonacci Retracement
Applying Fibonacci to the rally from the April low ($147.67) to the current high ($251.61):
- 23.6% retracement: $227.08
- 38.2% retracement: $211.91
- 50% retracement: $199.64
These levels align with prior consolidation zones and the 50-DMA near $223, creating strong confluent support. The $227 level (23.6%) is particularly significant, coinciding with the August swing high.
Confluence and Divergence
Bullish confluence appears at $227-$230 (Fibonacci 23.6%, 50-DMA, and prior resistance). Bearish divergence is noted between the overbought KDJ/RSI readings and Bollinger Band positioning versus the MACD's continued strength. However, the absence of negative divergences in MACD and volume metrics reduces reversal probabilities. The primary risk remains overbought consolidations rather than trend reversal, with $227 offering a high-probability accumulation zone should a pullback materialize.
Candlestick Theory
The three consecutive white candlesticks with progressively higher closes form a "Three White Soldiers" pattern – a bullish continuation signal following the consolidation near $240. The latest long-bodied candle breached the psychological resistance at $250, with the upper shadow at $252.41 suggesting temporary profit-taking. Immediate support now lies at $244.66 (prior session low), while major support rests at the $230-$235 consolidation zone from early September. The breakout above $250 establishes new resistance near $252.50.
Moving Average Theory
The short-term 50-day moving average ($223 estimated) maintains a positive slope above the rising 100-day ($214 estimated) and 200-day ($195 estimated) averages, confirming a bullish long-term structure. The current price trades 12.8% above the 50-DMA, reflecting strong momentum. The sustained golden cross formation (50-DMA above 200-DMA since August) underscores the dominant uptrend. Moving average alignment supports continuation above $240.
MACD & KDJ Indicators
The MACD (12,26,9) shows accelerating bullish momentum, with the MACD line widening above the signal line following a recent centerline crossover. Histogram bars are expanding positively. Meanwhile, the KDJ oscillator (K:88, D:85, J:94) resides in overbought territory, with the %J line near 100 indicating stretched momentum. While this warns of potential consolidation, both oscillators lack bearish divergences, suggesting any pullback may be contained.
Bollinger Bands
Bands are expanding (20-period bandwidth increased 25% this week), reflecting heightened volatility during the breakout. Price trades near the upper band ($253), signaling short-term overextension. The breach of the upper BollingerBINI-- band historically preceded pullbacks to the 20-period SMA ($234), but band expansion during strong trends often allows price to ride the upper band. Watch for contraction to signal reduced momentum.
Volume-Price Relationship
Volume surged 117% during the breakout, with the latest session's 58.2 million shares exceeding the 30-day average. This volume confirmation validates the breakout's strength. Notably, the September 3rd rally on 103M shares established a high-volume support node at $230. The volume profile shows increasing participation on up days versus light volume during minor pullbacks, supporting trend sustainability.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The 14-day RSI reading of 82 indicates severely overbought conditions. While RSI above 70 typically signals overextension, during powerful uptrends (like the current 45% YTD gain), RSI can remain elevated for extended periods. The absence of bearish divergences suggests the primary trend remains intact, but this reading increases near-term vulnerability to profit-taking.
Fibonacci Retracement
Applying Fibonacci to the rally from the April low ($147.67) to the current high ($251.61):
- 23.6% retracement: $227.08
- 38.2% retracement: $211.91
- 50% retracement: $199.64
These levels align with prior consolidation zones and the 50-DMA near $223, creating strong confluent support. The $227 level (23.6%) is particularly significant, coinciding with the August swing high.
Confluence and Divergence
Bullish confluence appears at $227-$230 (Fibonacci 23.6%, 50-DMA, and prior resistance). Bearish divergence is noted between the overbought KDJ/RSI readings and Bollinger Band positioning versus the MACD's continued strength. However, the absence of negative divergences in MACD and volume metrics reduces reversal probabilities. The primary risk remains overbought consolidations rather than trend reversal, with $227 offering a high-probability accumulation zone should a pullback materialize.

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