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trades at $313.83, up 0.27% with volume surging to 19M shares. • Put/Call OI ratio at 0.84 favors calls, with heavy OI at $320 and $315 strikes. • Block trades hint at $240 put buying ahead of Jan 16. • AI/cloud growth and $4.75B Intersect Power acquisition fuel bullish sentiment.The market is pricing in a breakout above $320—here’s why the data leans bullish but warns of short-term volatility.Bullish OI Clusters and Whale Moves Signal $320+ TargetOptions data tells a clear story: traders are stacking up for a push above $320. This Friday’s top OTM call OI is concentrated at $320 (13,265 contracts) and $315 (11,404), while next Friday’s OI extends to $340. That’s not random—it’s a vote of confidence in Alphabet’s AI-driven rally. The RSI at 41.6 suggests oversold conditions, and the 30D support/resistance at $319.52–$320.31 lines up with this key strike.
But don’t ignore the risks. The $310–$305 put OI (6,762–4,511 contracts) hints some are hedging a pullback. And those block trades? The
put (2,000 contracts) at $240 strike suggests big players are prepping for a sharp drop before Jan 16. That’s a red flag for short-term volatility.News Flow Fuels the Bull Case—But Watch for OverheatingAlphabet’s AI/cloud story is firing on all cylinders. The $4.75B Intersect Power acquisition isn’t just about energy—it’s about securing infrastructure for AI’s next phase. Cloud revenue hit $15.2B in Q3, with a $155B backlog that’s a goldmine for 2026. Gemini’s App Store dominance and $91–93B AI CapEx budget scream "long-term growth" to investors.
Yet here’s the catch: all this optimism is already priced into the stock. The 66% 2025 gain and 64.61% 52-week high mean there’s less room for error. If AI monetization slows or regulatory risks resurface, the $300–$280 put OI could trigger a selloff. But for now, the news and options data are in sync—this is a stock on a mission.
Actionable Plays: Calls for Breakouts, Stock for Precision EntriesFor options traders, the
call (expiring this Friday) is a high-conviction play. If price breaks above $322.5 (intraday high), this $320 strike could see explosive gains. A safer bet? A bull call spread: buy the $315 call (11,404 OI) and sell the $325 call (3,984 OI) for defined risk.Stock buyers should target $312.22 (middle Bollinger Band) with a stop below $300.14 (lower band). A breakout above $324.31 (upper band) would validate the bullish case. For swing traders, the 200D support at $173.30 is a distant floor—don’t chase unless price retests key levels.
Volatility on the Horizon: Ride the AI Wave, But Stay NimbleAlphabet’s options market is a battleground between bulls eyeing $340 and bears hedging at $240. The technicals and news both lean higher, but the block trades warn of near-term turbulence. This is a stock with momentum—and momentum can reverse fast. If you’re in, lock in profits as the $320–$325 zone is approached. If you’re on the sidelines, patience pays: the next leg up could come from a surprise AI partnership or another blockbuster cloud contract. Either way, the data says this is a stock to own in 2026.

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