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Here’s the core insight: despite today’s dip, options market sentiment leans decisively bullish, with heavy call positioning and block trades suggesting a potential rebound. The stock’s long-term structure remains intact, but short-term volatility could test key support levels. Let’s break it down.
What the Options Chain and Block Trades RevealThe options market is painting a clear picture: traders are stacking up for a rebound. The top OTM call strikes ($335, $325, $330) have combined open interest of 71,942 contracts expiring this Friday (Dec 19), while puts at $290 ($21,285 OI) and $300 ($14,989 OI) show defensive positioning. The put/call ratio of 0.805 means calls dominate by 24%, a strong bias for upside.
But it’s the block trades that catch attention. A $1.35M purchase of calls (expiring this Friday) signals aggressive near-term bullishness. Meanwhile, a $720K buy of puts (March 2026) suggests hedging against deeper declines. The $2.54M trade in puts (Jan 16, 2026) adds to the bearish undercurrent—but the sheer volume of calls still tips the scales.
News Flow: SpaceX Gains and AI Momentum Fuel OptimismAlphabet’s recent headlines are a mixed bag. The $800B SpaceX valuation boost could translate to an $8B+ unrealized gain on its earnings, a tailwind for Q4 results. Separately, Bank of America’s $1T AI revenue forecast for Alphabet—$500B from cloud, $400B from ads—positions the stock as a long-term winner in AI monetization. These narratives align with the call-heavy options data: investors are pricing in future growth, even if the stock dips today.
However, the current price ($305.01) is below the 30D support zone ($283.93–$284.88). If it breaks that, the 200D support ($162.57–$166.15) looms as a distant floor. But with RSI at 57.07 (neutral) and MACD crossing below the signal line, a rebound could be imminent.
Actionable Trading SetupsFor options traders, the most compelling plays are:
For stock traders, consider:
The next 72 hours will be critical. If
holds above $284 and closes above $308.58, the call-heavy positioning could ignite a short-covering rally. Conversely, a breakdown below $278.97 might trigger a wave of panic selling. Either way, the block trades and options data suggest a high-conviction trade: the market is pricing in a rebound, not a collapse. Stay nimble, and let the data guide your entries.
Focus on daily option trades

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