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The candlestick chart shows a short-term bearish engulfing pattern (a red flag for near-term momentum), but the options market isn’t buying it. Call open interest dominates at $335 (OI: 24,354) and $340 (OI: 17,528), while puts pile up at $290 (OI: 22,351). This creates a tight "bull trap" scenario: traders are hedging for a dip but betting heavily on a rebound.
The most telling move? A block trade of 1,000 calls at $260 () this Friday. That’s not just noise—it’s institutional money betting on a sharp rebound before year-end. But don’t ignore the risk: $290 puts (OI: 22,351) could ignite if macroeconomic fears resurface.
News Adds Nuance to the NarrativeAlphabet’s pre-market drop (3.14%) was driven by macroeconomic jitters, not earnings misses or ad revenue slumps. The AI roadmap remains intact, and Iowa State Bank’s 20.1% position boost in Q3 shows long-term conviction. Yet CEO Pichai’s recent $63M insider selling (mostly at $299.80) adds a layer of caution.
Here’s the twist: The market’s focus on valuation recalibration (not fundamentals) means GOOGL could rebound if the Fed signals rate-pause optimism. The options data already prices in this scenario—traders are just waiting for confirmation.
Actionable Trade Setups for TodayFor Options Traders:The next 72 hours will test GOOGL’s resolve. A break above $303.3 could trigger a short-covering rally fueled by the $335 call wall. But a close below $299.23 would validate the bearish engulfing pattern and reignite the $290 put battle.
Bottom line: This is a high-conviction setup. The options data and block trades scream for a $310+ move, but technicals demand respect for the $299.23 support. Play it smart—use tight stops and scale in as the $303.3 level holds. The AI giant isn’t done yet.
Focus on daily option trades

Dec.19 2025

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