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Here’s the core insight: options market sentiment and technicals align for a potential rebound above $315, with risks of a pullback to $290 if momentum stalls. Let’s break it down.
Bullish Call Dominance and Institutional MovesThe options chain tells a clear story: call open interest is concentrated at $320 (14,301 contracts) and $315 (9,126) for this Friday’s expiration. This suggests traders are pricing in a near-term rally to test those levels. Meanwhile, put open interest peaks at $290 (7,774) and $285 (6,742), indicating some defensive positioning but nothing close to the call-side enthusiasm.
Block trades add intrigue. A recent $1.14 million trade in GOOG20250919C235 and GOOG20251003C250—both call options—hints at institutional players hedging or scaling up positions ahead of key expirations. These moves, combined with the skewed put/call ratio, signal conviction in a near-term rebound.
News Flow: Sustainability and AI Fuel Long-Term OptimismAlphabet’s partnerships with ReNew Energy and TotalEnergies to power data centers with renewable energy aren’t just feel-good stories—they’re strategic moves to lock in long-term cost advantages. Pair that with AI advancements (Gemini, Vertex AI) and analysts raising price targets to $350, and the fundamentals align with the bullish options data.
But here’s the catch: short-term volatility remains a risk. The stock’s 15.9% revenue growth in Q3 2025 is impressive, but the recent 1.08% drop shows investors are still digesting earnings and adjusting positions. If the $300 support level (lower Bollinger Band) holds, the news-driven optimism could reignite.
Actionable Trade IdeasFor options traders, the most compelling setup is a long call at (this Friday’s $320 strike). Why? The high open interest at this level suggests a liquidity pool that could catalyze a breakout if the stock closes above $315. A tighter play: (next Friday’s $315 strike) if you want to extend the timeline.
For stock traders, consider entry near $305.37 (lower Bollinger Band) if the price holds above the 30D support at $284.45. A successful rebound could target $315, with a hard stop below $300. A bearish countertrade: a put spread at $290 and $285 if the stock gaps down pre-earnings.
Volatility on the HorizonAlphabet’s story is a tug-of-war between short-term profit-taking and long-term AI/clean energy bets. The options data leans bullish, but don’t ignore the risks: a breakdown below $300 could trigger a test of the 200D support at $164.29. For now, position yourself to capitalize on the $315–$320 breakout zone, and keep a close eye on block trades as early signals of institutional direction.
Bottom line: This is a stock where the fundamentals and options sentiment are in sync. The question isn’t whether Alphabet will grow—it’s when the market will price that growth into the stock.

Focus on daily option trades

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